--- title: "Call or Fold: 16 Outs vs 2/3 pot, Flop" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/16-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/16-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot" last_updated: "2026-10-21" type: "reference" summary: "Flop spot, 16 outs, two-thirds-pot bet: you hit 56.98% by the river against 28.57% needed. Verdict: call." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md"] --- # Call or Fold: 16 Outs vs 2/3 pot, Flop Flop spot, 16 outs, two-thirds-pot bet: you hit 56.98% by the river against 28.57% needed. Verdict: call. On the flop, 16 outs are enough to call a two-thirds-pot bet. The price is 28.57% and the chance is 56.98%. - Verdict: Call (16 outs, flop, two-thirds-pot bet) - Chance to hit by the river: 56.98% (two cards to come) - Equity the call needs: 28.57% ($66.67 into a pot of $233.33) - Margin over the price: +28.41 points (your chance minus the price) ## The call in numbers The call is clearly worth making. 56.98% is your chance to hit, 28.57% is the price, and the gap between them is 28.41 points. You will reach 16 outs by adding up separate draws. With 47 cards unseen, the next card helps 34.04% of the time. ## The $100 pot example - Starting pot: $100 - Your opponent bets: $66.67 - Chips you put in: $66.67 - Total pot after calling: $233.33 - Gain on a hit: $166.67 - What a miss costs: $66.67 - How often you hit: 56.98% - Average value of the call: +$66.30 - Equity the call needs: 28.57% - Your chance minus the price, unrounded: +28.4128 points - Outs at break-even: 7.20 outs - Outs to spare, exactly: +8.80 outs Suppose a hit wins the entire pot, a miss loses your call, and no more betting follows. The average gain is $94.97, the average loss is $28.68, and calling gains $66.30 on average, or +0.994 per dollar called. In odds, you face 0.75 : 1 against you and the pot pays 2.5 : 1. Counting the pot without your call makes the price look like 40.00%, when the real price is 28.57%. On that mistaken price the margin would read +16.9843 points; on 66.67%, the bet over the starting pot, it would read -9.6824 points. ## How safe the call is The fewest outs that still call a two-thirds-pot bet on the flop is 8. You hold 16, so you have 8 outs to spare before the call flips to a fold. Price of a two-thirds-pot call if you give money back after a hit, 16 outs on the flop | Given back later | Price with it | Your chance minus price | Value of the call | Call? | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | $0 | 28.57% | +28.41 points | +$66.30 | Call | | $10 | 29.85% | +27.13 points | +$60.60 | Call | | $25 | 32.00% | +24.98 points | +$52.05 | Call | | $50 | 36.36% | +20.62 points | +$37.80 | Call | | $100 | 50.00% | +6.98 points | +$9.31 | Call | Break-even on later streets sits at $116.34 given back, or 1.75 times your call. ## Two views of the same draw 16 outs against a two-thirds-pot bet, one view per row | Cards counted | Chance | Margin over price | Value of the call | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | By the river, two cards | 56.98% | +28.4128 points | +$66.30 | Call | | Next card only | 34.04% | +5.4711 points | +$12.77 | Call | The two chances agree on the verdict. 56.98% by the river and 34.04% on one card each lead to a call against 28.57%. ## Draws around this one The table shows 16 outs and the draws around it on the flop, all against the same two-thirds-pot bet. Each extra out adds about 2.78 points to the chance here. Outs 14 to 18 on the flop against a two-thirds-pot bet | Outs | By the river | Margin | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [14 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/14-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 51.16% | +22.58 points | Call | | [15 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/15-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 54.12% | +25.55 points | Call | | 16 outs, this page | 56.98% | +28.41 points | Call | | [17 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/17-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 59.76% | +31.19 points | Call | | [18 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/18-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 62.44% | +33.87 points | Call | ## How bet size moves the answer Bigger bets ask for more equity while your chance stays at 56.98%. Here is every bet size against the same draw, with the row for this page marked. 16 outs on the flop against every bet size | Bet size | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | quarter-pot | 16.67% | +40.32 points | Call | | [third-pot](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/16-outs-flop-vs-third-pot.md) | 20.00% | +36.98 points | Call | | two-fifths-pot | 22.22% | +34.76 points | Call | | [half-pot](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/16-outs-flop-vs-half-pot.md) | 25.00% | +31.98 points | Call | | two-thirds-pot, this page | 28.57% | +28.41 points | Call | | [three-quarter-pot](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/16-outs-flop-vs-three-quarter-pot.md) | 30.00% | +26.98 points | Call | | [pot-size](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/16-outs-flop-vs-pot-size.md) | 33.33% | +23.65 points | Call | | 1.25x-pot | 35.71% | +21.27 points | Call | | 1.5x-pot | 37.50% | +19.48 points | Call | | 2x-pot | 40.00% | +16.98 points | Call | | 3x-pot | 42.86% | +14.13 points | Call | | 4x-pot | 44.44% | +12.54 points | Call | No bet size here outprices a 56.98% chance. The call works at all 12 sizes, since the highest price is 44.44%. ## Related pages - [16 outs on the flop](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/16-outs-flop.md) - [Pot odds for a two-thirds-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/two-thirds-pot.md) - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md) - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md) - [Call or fold with a draw](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md) ## Questions ### Call or fold with 16 outs on the flop against a bet of two thirds of the pot? The answer is a call, with a margin of +28.41 points. 16 outs on the flop reach 56.98%; a bet of $66.67 into $100 needs 28.57%. Win the whole pot on a hit and lose the call on a miss, and the call is worth +$66.30 on average. ### What count of outs clears the price of a two-thirds-pot bet on the flop? Look for 8 outs. That is the smallest count whose chance, 31.45%, reaches the 28.57% price; 7 manages 27.84%. You have 16, so you are 8 ahead of the minimum. ### When is the next-card chance the better comparison? It depends on what follows, but here it does not matter. If the hand ends here, count both cards: 56.98%. If another bet is coming on the turn, count one card: 34.04%. Against 28.57%, both say call. ## How this is computed Here is how 56.98% was found. Deal every pair of the 47 unseen cards: 465 of 1,081 pairs contain no out. What is held fixed: the call equals the bet, so the price is $66.67 / $233.33 = 28.57%; the pot is won whole on a hit; there is no further betting; and each of the 47 unseen cards is as likely as any other. Opponent cards are not removed. Computed from the closed form by the GeorgeLiPoker math library. ## Related pages - [16 outs on the flop](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/16-outs-flop.md) - [Pot odds for a two-thirds-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/two-thirds-pot.md) - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md) - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md) - [Call or fold with a draw](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md) ## Related - [Call or Fold With a Draw by Bet Size](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md)