--- title: "Call or Fold: 2 Outs vs 3/4 pot, Turn" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/2-outs-turn-vs-three-quarter-pot.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/2-outs-turn-vs-three-quarter-pot" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "A three-quarter-pot bet asks for 30.00% and 2 outs on the turn give 4.35%, a margin of -25.65 points and a fold." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md"] --- # Call or Fold: 2 Outs vs 3/4 pot, Turn A three-quarter-pot bet asks for 30.00% and 2 outs on the turn give 4.35%, a margin of -25.65 points and a fold. A three-quarter-pot bet on the turn is too expensive to call with 2 outs. You hit 4.35% of the time by the river and the call needs 30.00%. - Verdict: Fold (2 outs, turn, three-quarter-pot bet) - Chance to hit by the river: 4.35% (one card to come) - Equity the call needs: 30.00% ($75 into a pot of $250) - Margin over the price: -25.65 points (your chance minus the price) ## Comparing the draw with the bet The price is 30.00% and your chance is 4.35%. You sit 25.65 points below the line, which is a wide gap, so you fold. Holding a pocket pair that wants a set gives you exactly 2 outs, out of 46 unseen cards. One card hits 4.35% of the time. ## Putting dollars on the call - Pot when the bet arrives: $100 - Bet: $75 - You call: $75 - Pot with your call in: $250 - You can win on a hit: $175 - What a miss costs: $75 - How often you hit: 4.35% - Average value of the call: -$64.13 - Price of the call: 30.00% - Exact margin over the price: -25.6522 points - Break-even count of outs: 13.80 outs - Your outs minus break-even outs: -11.80 outs Stay with simple rules: the whole pot on a hit, the call lost on a miss, no more money in. Under them calling loses $64.13 on average. The hit side averages $7.61, the miss side $71.74, and each dollar called returns -0.855. In odds, you face 22 : 1 against you and the pot pays 2.33 : 1. The price is 30.00% because your call goes into the pot too. Leave it out and you get 42.86%, a margin of -38.5093 points that does not exist; use the starting pot instead and 75.00% puts the margin at -70.6522 points. ## What it would take to call With 4.35% to hit, break-even sits $1,475 higher than the pot shows. Put another way, later bets must add 19.67 times your call. Price of a three-quarter-pot call with future winnings added, 2 outs on the turn | Future winnings | Price with them | Your chance minus price | Value of the call | Call? | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | $0 | 30.00% | -25.65 points | -$64.13 | Fold | | $50 | 25.00% | -20.65 points | -$61.96 | Fold | | $100 | 21.43% | -17.08 points | -$59.78 | Fold | | $250 | 15.00% | -10.65 points | -$53.26 | Fold | | $500 | 10.00% | -5.65 points | -$42.39 | Fold | The call starts to work at 14 outs, where the chance is 30.43%. Your 2 outs fall 12 outs below that. ## The same draw on the flop 2 outs against a three-quarter-pot bet, flop and turn | Street | Chance by the river | Margin over price | Value of the call | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Flop, two cards to come | 8.42% | -21.5819 points | -$53.95 | Fold | | Turn, one card to come | 4.35% | -25.6522 points | -$64.13 | Fold | Only the river remains, so there is just one number: 4.35%. For reference, the same draw on the flop was 8.42%, 4.07 points higher, which against 30.00% is a fold. ## A few outs either way Here are the neighbors of 2 outs, priced against the same 30.00%. One more out lifts your chance by about 2.17 points. Outs 1 to 5 on the turn against a three-quarter-pot bet | Outs | By the river | Margin | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 out | 2.17% | -27.83 points | Fold | | 2 outs, this page | 4.35% | -25.65 points | Fold | | 3 outs | 6.52% | -23.48 points | Fold | | 4 outs | 8.70% | -21.30 points | Fold | | [5 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/5-outs-turn-vs-three-quarter-pot.md) | 10.87% | -19.13 points | Fold | ## The same draw against other bet sizes Bet size sets the price, so the verdict changes as you scan the table. The three-quarter-pot bet of this page is marked in the first column. 2 outs on the turn against every bet size | Bet size | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | quarter-pot | 16.67% | -12.32 points | Fold | | third-pot | 20.00% | -15.65 points | Fold | | two-fifths-pot | 22.22% | -17.87 points | Fold | | half-pot | 25.00% | -20.65 points | Fold | | two-thirds-pot | 28.57% | -24.22 points | Fold | | three-quarter-pot, this page | 30.00% | -25.65 points | Fold | | pot-size | 33.33% | -28.99 points | Fold | | 1.25x-pot | 35.71% | -31.37 points | Fold | | 1.5x-pot | 37.50% | -33.15 points | Fold | | 2x-pot | 40.00% | -35.65 points | Fold | | 3x-pot | 42.86% | -38.51 points | Fold | | 4x-pot | 44.44% | -40.10 points | Fold | 2 outs stop paying at 0.05 times the pot ($4.76 on a $100 pot), below the smallest size listed. The call fails at all 12 bet sizes. ## Pages that use the same math - [2 outs on the turn](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/2-outs-turn.md) - [Pot odds for a three-quarter-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/three-quarter-pot.md) - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md) - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md) - [Call or fold with a draw](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md) ## Questions ### Should you call a three-quarter-pot bet with 2 outs on the turn? Compare 4.35%, your chance to hit by the river, with 30.00%, the equity a three-quarter-pot bet needs. The gap is -25.65 points, so this is a fold. In dollars on a $100 pot, the call averages -$64.13 when no more betting follows. ### What is the minimum number of outs for a three-quarter-pot bet on the turn? The fewest outs that call a three-quarter-pot bet on the turn is 14. With 14 outs you hit 30.43%, which reaches the 30.00% price, while 13 outs hit only 28.26%. You have 2, so you are 12 below that count. ### How many cards should you count when a three-quarter-pot bet arrives on the turn? Both views collapse into 4.35%. Against the 30.00% price of a three-quarter-pot bet, that leaves -25.65 points and a fold, and the choice between one card and two no longer applies. ## How this is computed Everything is computed from the closed form. The river chance is 2 outs over 46 unseen cards, 4.35%. Four assumptions sit behind the verdict: you call the full bet, a hit wins the entire pot, no money goes in after the call, and every one of the 46 unseen cards is equally likely. The price is $75 / $250 = 30.00%. No card is taken out for what an opponent might hold. Computed from the closed form by the GeorgeLiPoker math library. ## Related pages - [2 outs on the turn](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/2-outs-turn.md) - [Pot odds for a three-quarter-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/three-quarter-pot.md) - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md) - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md) - [Call or fold with a draw](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md) ## Related - [Call or Fold With a Draw by Bet Size](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md)