--- title: "Call or Fold: 6 Outs vs 2/3 pot, Flop" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot" last_updated: "2026-10-21" type: "reference" summary: "With 6 outs on the flop you hit 24.14%; a two-thirds-pot bet needs 28.57%. The math says fold." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md"] --- # Call or Fold: 6 Outs vs 2/3 pot, Flop With 6 outs on the flop you hit 24.14%; a two-thirds-pot bet needs 28.57%. The math says fold. Your draw is priced too high to call here: 24.14% to hit, 28.57% needed against a two-thirds-pot bet on the flop. - Verdict: Fold (6 outs, flop, two-thirds-pot bet) - Chance to hit by the river: 24.14% (two cards to come) - Equity the call needs: 28.57% ($66.67 into a pot of $233.33) - Margin over the price: -4.43 points (your chance minus the price) ## How the verdict is reached The odds you are given are worse than the odds you need: 28.57% needed, 24.14% held, 4.43 points missing. For two overcards, 6 outs is the number to use, and one card hits 12.77% of the time out of 47 unseen. ## The $100 pot example - Starting pot: $100 - Size of the bet: $66.67 - Chips you put in: $66.67 - Total pot after calling: $233.33 - You can win on a hit: $166.67 - You lose on a miss: $66.67 - Chance to hit by the river: 24.14% - Expected value of a call: -$10.33 - Equity the call needs: 28.57% - Exact margin over the price: -4.4271 points - Outs that exactly reach the price: 7.20 outs - Your outs minus break-even outs: -1.20 outs Stay with simple rules: the whole pot on a hit, the call lost on a miss, no more money in. Under them calling loses $10.33 on average. The hit side averages $40.24, the miss side $50.57, and each dollar called returns -0.155. Written as odds, the pot lays 2.5 : 1 while the draw is 3.14 : 1 against. The correct pot to divide by includes your call. Without it the price reads 40.00% rather than 28.57%, and the margin reads -15.8557 points. With the starting pot alone it reads 66.67% and -42.5224 points. ## What implied odds would have to do To make the call break even you would need to win another $42.78 after you hit, which is 0.64 times your call. Anything above that makes the call a good one. Price of a two-thirds-pot call with future winnings added, 6 outs on the flop | Future winnings | Price with them | Your chance minus price | Value of the call | Call? | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | $0 | 28.57% | -4.43 points | -$10.33 | Fold | | $50 | 23.53% | +0.61 points | +$1.74 | Call | | $100 | 20.00% | +4.14 points | +$13.81 | Call | | $250 | 13.79% | +10.35 points | +$50.03 | Call | | $500 | 9.09% | +15.05 points | +$110.39 | Call | The smallest count that pays for a two-thirds-pot bet is 8 outs at 31.45%. You hold 6, which is 2 outs fewer. ## Pricing one card at a time 6 outs against a two-thirds-pot bet, one view per row | Cards counted | Chance | Margin over price | Value of the call | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | By the river, two cards | 24.14% | -4.4271 points | -$10.33 | Fold | | Next card only | 12.77% | -15.8055 points | -$36.88 | Fold | No conflict here: 24.14% for two cards and 12.77% for one both give a fold against the 28.57% price, so you need not decide which view applies. ## Neighbors of this draw Here are the neighbors of 6 outs, priced against the same 28.57%. One more out lifts your chance by about 3.70 points. Outs 4 to 8 on the flop against a two-thirds-pot bet | Outs | By the river | Margin | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [4 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/4-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 16.47% | -12.11 points | Fold | | [5 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/5-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 20.35% | -8.22 points | Fold | | 6 outs, this page | 24.14% | -4.43 points | Fold | | [7 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/7-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 27.84% | -0.73 points | Fold | | [8 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/8-outs-flop-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 31.45% | +2.88 points | Call | ## How bet size moves the answer Your 24.14% chance is fixed, so the only thing that moves is the price. The 12 rows below price the call at every bet size on the flop. 6 outs on the flop against every bet size | Bet size | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | quarter-pot | 16.67% | +7.48 points | Call | | [third-pot](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-flop-vs-third-pot.md) | 20.00% | +4.14 points | Call | | two-fifths-pot | 22.22% | +1.92 points | Call | | [half-pot](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-flop-vs-half-pot.md) | 25.00% | -0.86 points | Fold | | two-thirds-pot, this page | 28.57% | -4.43 points | Fold | | [three-quarter-pot](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-flop-vs-three-quarter-pot.md) | 30.00% | -5.86 points | Fold | | [pot-size](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-flop-vs-pot-size.md) | 33.33% | -9.19 points | Fold | | 1.25x-pot | 35.71% | -11.57 points | Fold | | 1.5x-pot | 37.50% | -13.36 points | Fold | | 2x-pot | 40.00% | -15.86 points | Fold | | 3x-pot | 42.86% | -18.71 points | Fold | | 4x-pot | 44.44% | -20.30 points | Fold | 6 outs stop paying at 0.47 times the pot ($46.69 on a $100 pot). The call holds up against 3 of the 12 bet sizes. ## Next pages to read - [6 outs on the flop](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/6-outs-flop.md) - [Pot odds for a two-thirds-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/two-thirds-pot.md) - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md) - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md) - [Call or fold with a draw](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md) ## Questions ### Does the math favor calling a two-thirds-pot bet with 6 outs on the flop? Compare 24.14%, your chance to hit by the river, with 28.57%, the equity a two-thirds-pot bet needs. The gap is -4.43 points, so this is a fold. In dollars on a $100 pot, the call averages -$10.33 when no more betting follows. ### What is the minimum number of outs for a two-thirds-pot bet on the flop? Look for 8 outs. That is the smallest count whose chance, 31.45%, reaches the 28.57% price; 7 manages 27.84%. You have 6, so you are 2 behind the minimum. ### How many cards should you count when a two-thirds-pot bet arrives on the flop? Count two cards, 24.14%, when the bet is the last money going in, and one card, 12.77%, when the next street brings another bet. At a price of 28.57%, either number leads to a fold. ## How this is computed Everything is computed from the closed form. Pairs without an out: 820 of 1,081. The rest, 24.14%, hold at least one out. What is held fixed: the call equals the bet, so the price is $66.67 / $233.33 = 28.57%; the pot is won whole on a hit; there is no further betting; and each of the 47 unseen cards is as likely as any other. Opponent cards are not removed. Computed from the closed form by the GeorgeLiPoker math library. ## Related pages - [6 outs on the flop](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/6-outs-flop.md) - [Pot odds for a two-thirds-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/two-thirds-pot.md) - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md) - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md) - [Call or fold with a draw](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md) ## Related - [Call or Fold With a Draw by Bet Size](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md)