--- title: "Call or Fold: 6 Outs vs 2/3 pot, Turn" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "With 6 outs on the turn you hit 13.04%; a two-thirds-pot bet needs 28.57%. The math says fold." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md"] --- # Call or Fold: 6 Outs vs 2/3 pot, Turn With 6 outs on the turn you hit 13.04%; a two-thirds-pot bet needs 28.57%. The math says fold. Here is why a call fails on the turn: a two-thirds-pot bet needs 28.57% equity, and 6 outs supply only 13.04%. - Verdict: Fold (6 outs, turn, two-thirds-pot bet) - Chance to hit by the river: 13.04% (one card to come) - Equity the call needs: 28.57% ($66.67 into a pot of $233.33) - Margin over the price: -15.53 points (your chance minus the price) ## The call in numbers The call is clearly not worth making. 13.04% is your chance to hit, 28.57% is the price, and the gap between them is 15.53 points. 6 outs is the standard count for two overcards. Of the 46 unseen cards on the turn, 6 complete it, which is 13.04% on the very next card. ## The arithmetic of this call - Starting pot: $100 - Your opponent bets: $66.67 - Cost to call: $66.67 - Total pot after calling: $233.33 - You can win on a hit: $166.67 - Net loss when you miss: $66.67 - Chance to hit by the river: 13.04% - Average value of the call: -$36.23 - Price of the call: 28.57% - Unrounded margin: -15.5280 points - Outs at break-even: 13.14 outs - Outs to spare, exactly: -7.14 outs If you win the whole pot on a hit and lose your call otherwise, with no more betting, calling loses $36.23 on average. Hits add $21.74 on average and misses cost $57.97 on average, or -0.543 per dollar called. In odds, you face 6.67 : 1 against you and the pot pays 2.5 : 1. Counting the pot without your call makes the price look like 40.00%, when the real price is 28.57%. On that mistaken price the margin would read -26.9565 points; on 66.67%, the bet over the starting pot, it would read -53.6232 points. ## The price with implied odds Implied odds are the way to close the gap. You need $277.78 more on later streets after hitting, which is 4.17 times the call you make. Price of a two-thirds-pot call with future winnings added, 6 outs on the turn | Future winnings | Price with them | Your chance minus price | Value of the call | Call? | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | $0 | 28.57% | -15.53 points | -$36.23 | Fold | | $50 | 23.53% | -10.49 points | -$29.71 | Fold | | $100 | 20.00% | -6.96 points | -$23.19 | Fold | | $250 | 13.79% | -0.75 points | -$3.62 | Fold | | $500 | 9.09% | +3.95 points | +$28.99 | Call | 14 outs is the threshold against a two-thirds-pot bet on the turn, a chance of 30.43%. That is 8 more than your 6. ## Turn against flop 6 outs against a two-thirds-pot bet, flop and turn | Street | Chance by the river | Margin over price | Value of the call | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Flop, two cards to come | 24.14% | -4.4271 points | -$10.33 | Fold | | Turn, one card to come | 13.04% | -15.5280 points | -$36.23 | Fold | One street later the draw is weaker. The same 6 outs hit 24.14% from the flop and 13.04% from the turn, a drop of 11.10 points, and the verdict on the flop would have been a fold. ## Nearby draws Here are the neighbors of 6 outs, priced against the same 28.57%. One more out lifts your chance by about 2.17 points. Outs 4 to 8 on the turn against a two-thirds-pot bet | Outs | By the river | Margin | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [4 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/4-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 8.70% | -19.88 points | Fold | | [5 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/5-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 10.87% | -17.70 points | Fold | | 6 outs, this page | 13.04% | -15.53 points | Fold | | [7 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/7-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 15.22% | -13.35 points | Fold | | 8 outs | 17.39% | -11.18 points | Fold | ## How bet size moves the answer Keep 6 outs and change only the bet. The price rises from the smallest size to the largest, and the two-thirds-pot row is marked as this page. 6 outs on the turn against every bet size | Bet size | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | quarter-pot | 16.67% | -3.62 points | Fold | | [third-pot](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-turn-vs-third-pot.md) | 20.00% | -6.96 points | Fold | | two-fifths-pot | 22.22% | -9.18 points | Fold | | half-pot | 25.00% | -11.96 points | Fold | | two-thirds-pot, this page | 28.57% | -15.53 points | Fold | | three-quarter-pot | 30.00% | -16.96 points | Fold | | pot-size | 33.33% | -20.29 points | Fold | | 1.25x-pot | 35.71% | -22.67 points | Fold | | 1.5x-pot | 37.50% | -24.46 points | Fold | | 2x-pot | 40.00% | -26.96 points | Fold | | 3x-pot | 42.86% | -29.81 points | Fold | | 4x-pot | 44.44% | -31.40 points | Fold | Even the smallest bet on the list outprices 6 outs on the turn. The break-even bet is 0.18 times the pot ($17.65 on a $100 pot), and every one of the 12 sizes is above it. ## Next pages to read - [6 outs on the turn](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/6-outs-turn.md) - [Pot odds for a two-thirds-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/two-thirds-pot.md) - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md) - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md) - [Call or fold with a draw](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md) ## Questions ### Should you call a two-thirds-pot bet with 6 outs on the turn? Reduce the question to a comparison of two numbers: 13.04% to hit and 28.57% to break even. The first minus the second is -15.53 points, which makes this a fold, and the call averages -$36.23 on a $100 pot if no more betting follows. ### How strong must a draw be to call a two-thirds-pot bet on the turn? A call starts to work at 14 outs: 30.43% to hit versus 28.57% needed. One out fewer drops the chance to 28.26%. You hold 6, which is 8 fewer than the minimum. ### Which chance should you compare with the price, the next card or the river? The question belongs to the flop. On the turn, 6 outs among 46 cards give 13.04% either way, and against 28.57% that is a fold by 15.53 points. ## How this is computed The number is exact rather than estimated. 6 of the 46 cards that could come are outs, which is 13.04%. Keep the assumptions in view: a full call ($66.67 into $233.33, or 28.57%), the whole pot on a hit, no more betting, and 46 unseen cards that are equally likely. The math does not know what the other player holds. Computed from the closed form by the GeorgeLiPoker math library. ## Related pages - [6 outs on the turn](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/6-outs-turn.md) - [Pot odds for a two-thirds-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/two-thirds-pot.md) - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md) - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md) - [Call or fold with a draw](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md) ## Related - [Call or Fold With a Draw by Bet Size](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md)