--- title: "Call or Fold: 7 Outs vs 2/3 pot, Turn" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/7-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/7-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "The exact answer for 7 outs on the turn facing a two-thirds-pot bet: 15.22% to hit, 28.57% to break even, fold." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md"] --- # Call or Fold: 7 Outs vs 2/3 pot, Turn The exact answer for 7 outs on the turn facing a two-thirds-pot bet: 15.22% to hit, 28.57% to break even, fold. The numbers favor a fold. 7 outs on the turn reach 15.22%, and a two-thirds-pot bet asks for 28.57%. - Verdict: Fold (7 outs, turn, two-thirds-pot bet) - Chance to hit by the river: 15.22% (one card to come) - Equity the call needs: 28.57% ($66.67 into a pot of $233.33) - Margin over the price: -13.35 points (your chance minus the price) ## Comparing the draw with the bet 15.22% against 28.57%: the draw trails the price by 13.35 points. On this turn against a two-thirds-pot bet, that is an easy fold. Think of 7 outs as a running total of every card that improves you. 7 of the 46 unseen cards qualify, which is 15.22% on one card. ## Counting the chips on a $100 pot - The pot before betting: $100 - Bet: $66.67 - You call: $66.67 - Total pot after calling: $233.33 - Net gain when you hit: $166.67 - Net loss when you miss: $66.67 - How often you hit: 15.22% - Average value of the call: -$31.16 - Price of the call: 28.57% - Your chance minus the price, unrounded: -13.3540 points - Break-even count of outs: 13.14 outs - Outs above the price: -6.14 outs If you win the whole pot on a hit and lose your call otherwise, with no more betting, calling loses $31.16 on average. Hits add $25.36 on average and misses cost $56.52 on average, or -0.467 per dollar called. As odds, 5.57 : 1 against hitting meets pot odds of 2.5 : 1. A common slip is to divide the bet by the pot after the bet but before your call. That gives 40.00% instead of 28.57% and would put your margin at -24.7826 points. Using the bet over the starting pot, 66.67%, is further off and would put it at -51.4493 points. ## Implied odds that would change the answer Think of it as a missing $204.76. When the draw hits you must collect that much beyond the pot for the $66.67 call to pay for itself, 3.07 times your call. Price of a two-thirds-pot call with future winnings added, 7 outs on the turn | Future winnings | Price with them | Your chance minus price | Value of the call | Call? | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | $0 | 28.57% | -13.35 points | -$31.16 | Fold | | $50 | 23.53% | -8.31 points | -$23.55 | Fold | | $100 | 20.00% | -4.78 points | -$15.94 | Fold | | $250 | 13.79% | +1.42 points | +$6.88 | Call | | $500 | 9.09% | +6.13 points | +$44.93 | Call | Outs are the other lever. At 14 outs you reach 30.43% by the river, enough for a two-thirds-pot bet, and you are 7 outs away. ## The same draw on the flop 7 outs against a two-thirds-pot bet, flop and turn | Street | Chance by the river | Margin over price | Value of the call | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Flop, two cards to come | 27.84% | -0.7268 points | -$1.70 | Fold | | Turn, one card to come | 15.22% | -13.3540 points | -$31.16 | Fold | Compare the streets. With two cards left, 7 outs hit 27.84% (a fold); with one card left they hit 15.22% (a fold). The difference is 12.63 points. ## How the answer moves with outs A few outs either way, against a two-thirds-pot bet that needs 28.57%. The chance climbs about 2.17 points with each extra out. Outs 5 to 9 on the turn against a two-thirds-pot bet | Outs | By the river | Margin | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [5 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/5-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 10.87% | -17.70 points | Fold | | [6 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 13.04% | -15.53 points | Fold | | 7 outs, this page | 15.22% | -13.35 points | Fold | | 8 outs | 17.39% | -11.18 points | Fold | | [9 outs](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/9-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 19.57% | -9.01 points | Fold | ## Bigger and smaller bets Bigger bets ask for more equity while your chance stays at 15.22%. Here is every bet size against the same draw, with the row for this page marked. 7 outs on the turn against every bet size | Bet size | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | quarter-pot | 16.67% | -1.45 points | Fold | | third-pot | 20.00% | -4.78 points | Fold | | two-fifths-pot | 22.22% | -7.00 points | Fold | | half-pot | 25.00% | -9.78 points | Fold | | two-thirds-pot, this page | 28.57% | -13.35 points | Fold | | three-quarter-pot | 30.00% | -14.78 points | Fold | | pot-size | 33.33% | -18.12 points | Fold | | 1.25x-pot | 35.71% | -20.50 points | Fold | | 1.5x-pot | 37.50% | -22.28 points | Fold | | 2x-pot | 40.00% | -24.78 points | Fold | | 3x-pot | 42.86% | -27.64 points | Fold | | 4x-pot | 44.44% | -29.23 points | Fold | Your draw can face a bet of up to 0.22 times the pot ($21.88 on a $100 pot) and still break even. That is under the quarter-pot bet, so none of the 12 sizes is a call. ## More on these numbers - [7 outs on the turn](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/7-outs-turn.md) - [Pot odds for a two-thirds-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/two-thirds-pot.md) - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md) - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md) - [Call or fold with a draw](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md) ## Questions ### Should you call a two-thirds-pot bet with 7 outs on the turn? By the numbers it is a fold. 7 outs on the turn hit 15.22% by the river, a two-thirds-pot bet needs 28.57%, and the margin is -13.35 points. That assumes you call the full $66.67 and no more betting follows, and it values the call at -$31.16 per $100 pot. ### What is the fewest outs that can call a two-thirds-pot bet on the turn? 14 outs is the line. At 14 the chance is 30.43%, enough for 28.57%; one fewer gives 28.26%, which is not. Your 7 outs sit 7 below it on the turn, at 15.22%. ### Should you use the chance on the next card or by the river? The question belongs to the flop. On the turn, 7 outs among 46 cards give 15.22% either way, and against 28.57% that is a fold by 13.35 points. ## How this is computed The number is exact rather than estimated. 7 of the 46 cards that could come are outs, which is 15.22%. The numbers are a baseline rather than a prediction for one hand. The price is 28.57%, from $66.67 into $233.33, and the chance assumes a whole pot won on a hit, no more betting, 46 equally likely unseen cards, and no cards removed for the other player. Computed from the closed form by the GeorgeLiPoker math library. ## Related pages - [7 outs on the turn](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/7-outs-turn.md) - [Pot odds for a two-thirds-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/two-thirds-pot.md) - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md) - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md) - [Call or fold with a draw](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md) ## Related - [Call or Fold With a Draw by Bet Size](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold.md)