--- title: "44 vs JTo: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-jto.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-jto" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "44 vs JTo is close to a coin flip before the flop: 49.56% to 50.44% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-t9s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-33.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/j9s-vs-jto.md"] --- # 44 vs JTo: preflop equity 44 vs JTo is close to a coin flip before the flop: 49.56% to 50.44% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, JTo finishes with 50.44% of the pot and 44 with 49.56%. ## 44 against JTo: the numbers **Exact preflop results for 44 against JTo, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 44 | 49.087 | 0.946 | 49.967 | 49.560 | | JTo | 49.967 | 0.946 | 49.087 | 50.440 | 44, a pocket pair, plays JTo, an offsuit hand. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead. JTo leads by less than 1 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. Ties are part of the picture: 0.95% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win. Among the 169 starting hands, 44 is number 48 and JTo is number 57 by strength against a random hand. **Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 44 | 60,517,000 | 1,166,000 | 61,602,000 | | JTo | 61,602,000 | 1,166,000 | 60,517,000 | Exact total: 72 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate. **44 against JTo read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 44 | 0.983 | 2.037 | 2.001 | 1.018 | | JTo | 1.018 | 2.001 | 2.037 | 0.983 | In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity. ## Who is ahead on which flops The flop changes the picture. JTo does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 56.86%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 28.06%. On low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and paired flops the numbers flip and 44 is the one ahead. **44 against JTo by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | 44 wins | Ties | JTo wins | 44 equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 42.879 | 0.531 | 56.590 | 43.144 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 71.631 | 0.624 | 27.745 | 71.943 | | Two-tone | 46.485 | 48.579 | 0.537 | 50.884 | 48.847 | | Monotone | 5.151 | 46.329 | 2.206 | 51.465 | 47.432 | | Paired | 17.333 | 51.911 | 2.378 | 45.711 | 53.100 | Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank. ## Compared with a random hand Against one random hand instead, 44 holds 57.02% and JTo holds 55.25%. Facing each other changes that by -7.46 points for 44 and -4.81 points for JTo. **44 and JTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 44, all flops | 49.560 | 57.023 | -7.463 | 0.86912 | | 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 43.144 | 57.023 | -13.879 | 0.75661 | | 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 71.943 | 57.023 | +14.920 | 1.26165 | | 44, two-tone | 48.847 | 57.023 | -8.176 | 0.85662 | | 44, monotone | 47.432 | 57.023 | -9.591 | 0.83180 | | 44, paired | 53.100 | 57.023 | -3.923 | 0.93120 | | JTo, all flops | 50.440 | 55.248 | -4.808 | 0.91297 | | JTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 56.856 | 55.248 | +1.608 | 1.02911 | | JTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 28.057 | 55.248 | -27.191 | 0.50784 | | JTo, two-tone | 51.153 | 55.248 | -4.095 | 0.92588 | | JTo, monotone | 52.568 | 55.248 | -2.680 | 0.95149 | | JTo, paired | 46.900 | 55.248 | -8.348 | 0.84890 | ## Does a shared suit matter? The suit split reads 50.53% for JTo with a shared suit and 49.98% without one. JTo does better with a shared suit, by 0.55 points. **44 against JTo by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 44 wins | Ties | JTo wins | 44 equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 48.988 | 0.959 | 50.053 | 49.467 | | No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 49.583 | 0.880 | 49.537 | 50.023 | ## How often this matchup comes up The class pair covers 72 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0044% of 1,624,350, and 144 (0.0089%) in either order. ## A worked example Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average JTo takes back $100.88 of it, which is $0.88 more than it put in, and 44 takes back $99.12, $0.88 less than it put in. Per 1,000 deals: JTo wins about 500, 44 wins about 491, and about 9 end in a split pot. ## The same matchup from the other side JTo against 44 adds nothing new: it is 50.44% for JTo and 49.56% for 44, the same figures reversed. ## Keep exploring 4s4h against JdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength. - [Open 4s4h against JdTc in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=4s4h&p2=JdTc) - [44 combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/44.md) - [JTo combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/jto.md) - [44 vs T9s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-t9s.md) - [44 vs 33](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-33.md) - [J9s vs JTo](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/j9s-vs-jto.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 72 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [44 vs T9s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-t9s.md) - [44 vs 33: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-33.md) - [J9s vs JTo: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/j9s-vs-jto.md)