--- title: "AA vs QTo: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-qto.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-qto" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "AA is a big favorite over QTo before the flop: 84.49% to 15.51% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-44.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-j9s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/kk-vs-qto.md"] --- # AA vs QTo: preflop equity AA is a big favorite over QTo before the flop: 84.49% to 15.51% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. Counting every board, the equity split is 84.49% for AA and 15.51% for QTo, so AA leads by 68.98 points. ## AA against QTo: the numbers **Exact preflop results for AA against QTo, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AA | 84.307 | 0.369 | 15.324 | 84.492 | | QTo | 15.324 | 0.369 | 84.307 | 15.508 | The matchup pits a pocket pair against an offsuit hand. Here a pair faces two cards that are both smaller, so the other hand needs to pair up and still be behind. This is one of the lopsided matchups: QTo wins only 15.32% of the boards outright. Ties are 0.37% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot. By strength against a random hand, AA holds place 1 of 169 and QTo holds place 47. **Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AA | 103,939,000 | 455,000 | 18,892,000 | | QTo | 18,892,000 | 455,000 | 103,939,000 | The board total is exact, 72 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages. **AA against QTo read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AA | 5.448 | 1.186 | 6.526 | 0.184 | | QTo | 0.184 | 6.526 | 1.186 | 5.448 | The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call. ## Who is ahead on which flops By flop texture, AA's equity runs from 79.51% on monotone flops up to 93.12% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AA stays ahead on all five textures. **AA against QTo by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | AA wins | Ties | QTo wins | AA equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 81.460 | 0.154 | 18.386 | 81.537 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 92.619 | 1.010 | 6.371 | 93.124 | | Two-tone | 46.485 | 83.731 | 0.353 | 15.916 | 83.907 | | Monotone | 5.151 | 78.642 | 1.728 | 19.630 | 79.506 | | Paired | 17.333 | 87.632 | 0.007 | 12.361 | 87.636 | Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank. ## Compared with a random hand Relative to a random opponent, AA changes by -0.71 points (baseline 85.20%) and QTo by -41.78 points (baseline 57.29%). **AA and QTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AA, all flops | 84.492 | 85.204 | -0.712 | 0.99164 | | AA, rainbow, ten or higher | 81.537 | 85.204 | -3.667 | 0.95696 | | AA, rainbow, nine or lower | 93.124 | 85.204 | +7.920 | 1.09295 | | AA, two-tone | 83.907 | 85.204 | -1.297 | 0.98478 | | AA, monotone | 79.506 | 85.204 | -5.698 | 0.93313 | | AA, paired | 87.636 | 85.204 | +2.432 | 1.02854 | | QTo, all flops | 15.508 | 57.291 | -41.783 | 0.27069 | | QTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 18.463 | 57.291 | -38.828 | 0.32227 | | QTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 6.876 | 57.291 | -50.415 | 0.12002 | | QTo, two-tone | 16.093 | 57.291 | -41.198 | 0.28090 | | QTo, monotone | 20.494 | 57.291 | -36.797 | 0.35772 | | QTo, paired | 12.364 | 57.291 | -44.927 | 0.21581 | ## Does a shared suit matter? Of the deals of this matchup, 60 share a suit (AA at 84.64%) and 12 do not (83.76%). AA does better with a shared suit, by 0.88 points. **AA against QTo by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AA wins | Ties | QTo wins | AA equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 84.445 | 0.385 | 15.170 | 84.637 | | No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 83.619 | 0.289 | 16.092 | 83.763 | ## How often this matchup comes up This page stands for 72 specific-card matchups (0.0044% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 144 once you count the seats both ways (0.0089%). ## A worked example With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $168.98 for AA and $31.02 for QTo; the first side gains $68.98 per all-in and the second gives up $68.98. Think in thousands: about 843 of 1,000 go to AA, about 153 go to QTo, and about 4 are chopped. ## The same matchup from the other side QTo versus AA is this same page seen from the other hand: 15.51% for QTo, 84.49% for AA. ## Keep exploring AsAh against QdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength. - [Open AsAh against QdTc in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=AsAh&p2=QdTc) - [AA combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/aa.md) - [QTo combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/qto.md) - [AA vs 44](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-44.md) - [AA vs J9s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-j9s.md) - [KK vs QTo](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/kk-vs-qto.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 72 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [AA vs 44: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-44.md) - [AA vs J9s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-j9s.md) - [KK vs QTo: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/kk-vs-qto.md)