--- title: "AA vs QTs: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-qts.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-qts" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "AA is a big favorite over QTs before the flop: 80.48% to 19.52% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-a4s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-a3s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/kk-vs-qts.md"] --- # AA vs QTs: preflop equity AA is a big favorite over QTs before the flop: 80.48% to 19.52% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. Counting every board, the equity split is 80.48% for AA and 19.52% for QTs, so AA leads by 60.96 points. ## AA against QTs: the numbers **Exact preflop results for AA against QTs, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AA | 80.290 | 0.387 | 19.323 | 80.483 | | QTs | 19.323 | 0.387 | 80.290 | 19.517 | AA is a pocket pair and QTs is a suited hand. The pair outranks both of the other hand's cards, which is why the pair is a strong favorite. A gap this wide means QTs is in trouble before the flop and has few good runouts. About 0.39% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands. The hand ranking puts AA at 1 and QTs at 34 out of 169 starting hands. **Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AA | 32,995,000 | 159,000 | 7,941,000 | | QTs | 7,941,000 | 159,000 | 32,995,000 | Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate. **AA against QTs read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AA | 4.124 | 1.245 | 5.175 | 0.242 | | QTs | 0.242 | 5.175 | 1.245 | 4.124 | The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity. ## Who is ahead on which flops Across the five flop textures AA's equity moves by 15.58 points, from 74.78% on monotone flops to 90.36% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AA stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal. **AA against QTs by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | AA wins | Ties | QTs wins | AA equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.138 | 79.386 | 0.148 | 20.466 | 79.460 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 89.873 | 0.967 | 9.160 | 90.356 | | Two-tone | 46.545 | 78.449 | 0.324 | 21.227 | 78.611 | | Monotone | 5.212 | 73.572 | 2.409 | 24.019 | 74.776 | | Paired | 17.334 | 84.163 | 0.007 | 15.830 | 84.166 | Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank. ## Compared with a random hand Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 85.20% for AA, 59.47% for QTs. Here the change is -4.72 and -39.95 points. **AA and QTs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AA, all flops | 80.483 | 85.204 | -4.721 | 0.94459 | | AA, rainbow, ten or higher | 79.460 | 85.204 | -5.744 | 0.93259 | | AA, rainbow, nine or lower | 90.356 | 85.204 | +5.152 | 1.06047 | | AA, two-tone | 78.611 | 85.204 | -6.593 | 0.92262 | | AA, monotone | 74.776 | 85.204 | -10.428 | 0.87761 | | AA, paired | 84.166 | 85.204 | -1.038 | 0.98782 | | QTs, all flops | 19.517 | 59.468 | -39.951 | 0.32819 | | QTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 20.540 | 59.468 | -38.928 | 0.34540 | | QTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 9.644 | 59.468 | -49.824 | 0.16217 | | QTs, two-tone | 21.389 | 59.468 | -38.079 | 0.35967 | | QTs, monotone | 25.224 | 59.468 | -34.244 | 0.42416 | | QTs, paired | 15.834 | 59.468 | -43.634 | 0.26626 | ## Does a shared suit matter? The suit split reads 81.07% for AA with a shared suit and 79.90% without one. AA does better with a shared suit, by 1.17 points. **AA against QTs by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AA wins | Ties | QTs wins | AA equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 80.852 | 0.428 | 18.720 | 81.066 | | No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 79.728 | 0.346 | 19.926 | 79.901 | ## How often this matchup comes up Counting specific cards, AA against QTs appears in 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0015%), and in 48 when the seats are swapped too (0.0030%). ## A worked example To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. AA is worth $160.96 on average (+$60.96); QTs is worth $39.04 (-$60.96). Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 803 wins for AA, 193 for QTs and 4 chopped pots. ## The same matchup from the other side Read it from the other side: QTs against AA is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so QTs holds 19.52% and AA holds 80.48%. That address sends you back to this page. ## Keep exploring AsAh against QdTd is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength. - [Open AsAh against QdTd in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=AsAh&p2=QdTd) - [AA combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/aa.md) - [QTs combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/qts.md) - [AA vs A4s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-a4s.md) - [AA vs A3s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-a3s.md) - [KK vs QTs](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/kk-vs-qts.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 24 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [AA vs A4s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-a4s.md) - [AA vs A3s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aa-vs-a3s.md) - [KK vs QTs: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/kk-vs-qts.md)