--- title: "AKs vs 33: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-33.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-33" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "AKs vs 33 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 49.21% to 50.79% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-t8s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-t9o.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/77-vs-33.md"] --- # AKs vs 33: preflop equity AKs vs 33 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 49.21% to 50.79% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. Dealt all in against each other, 33 takes 50.79% of the pot on average and AKs takes the other 49.21%. ## AKs against 33: the numbers **Exact preflop results for AKs against 33, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AKs | 48.915 | 0.583 | 50.502 | 49.206 | | 33 | 50.502 | 0.583 | 48.915 | 50.794 | Here a suited hand (AKs) meets a pocket pair (33). One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect. With only 1.58 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. About 0.58% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands. Ranked by equity against a random hand, AKs is number 8 of the 169 starting hands and 33 is number 66. **Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AKs | 20,102,000 | 240,000 | 20,754,000 | | 33 | 20,754,000 | 240,000 | 20,102,000 | The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand. **AKs against 33 read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AKs | 0.969 | 2.044 | 1.980 | 1.032 | | 33 | 1.032 | 1.980 | 2.044 | 0.969 | The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call. ## Who is ahead on which flops Split by what the flop looks like, 33 peaks at 76.87% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 45.79% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. AKs takes over on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and two-tone flops, so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards. **AKs against 33 by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | AKs wins | Ties | 33 wins | AKs equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 54.115 | 0.199 | 45.686 | 54.214 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 22.515 | 1.238 | 76.247 | 23.134 | | Two-tone | 46.545 | 49.939 | 0.373 | 49.688 | 50.125 | | Monotone | 5.212 | 47.778 | 3.197 | 49.025 | 49.377 | | Paired | 17.334 | 48.744 | 0.665 | 50.591 | 49.076 | A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank. ## Compared with a random hand The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -17.84 points for AKs, from 67.05%, and -2.90 for 33, from 53.69%. **AKs and 33 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AKs, all flops | 49.206 | 67.045 | -17.839 | 0.73392 | | AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 54.214 | 67.045 | -12.831 | 0.80862 | | AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 23.134 | 67.045 | -43.911 | 0.34505 | | AKs, two-tone | 50.125 | 67.045 | -16.920 | 0.74763 | | AKs, monotone | 49.377 | 67.045 | -17.668 | 0.73648 | | AKs, paired | 49.076 | 67.045 | -17.969 | 0.73199 | | 33, all flops | 50.794 | 53.693 | -2.899 | 0.94601 | | 33, rainbow, ten or higher | 45.786 | 53.693 | -7.907 | 0.85274 | | 33, rainbow, nine or lower | 76.866 | 53.693 | +23.173 | 1.43158 | | 33, two-tone | 49.875 | 53.693 | -3.818 | 0.92889 | | 33, monotone | 50.623 | 53.693 | -3.070 | 0.94282 | | 33, paired | 50.924 | 53.693 | -2.769 | 0.94843 | ## Does a shared suit matter? Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common 33 has 50.98% equity, and with none in common it has 50.61%. 33 does better with a shared suit, by 0.37 points. **AKs against 33 by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKs wins | Ties | 33 wins | AKs equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 48.712 | 0.613 | 50.675 | 49.018 | | No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 49.118 | 0.552 | 50.330 | 49.394 | ## How often this matchup comes up AKs against 33 is made up of 24 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0015% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 48 counting both seat orders, 0.0030%. ## A worked example Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. 33 averages $101.58 from the $200, up $1.58; AKs averages $98.42, down $1.58. A thousand deals look like this: 33 takes 505, AKs takes 489, 6 are ties. ## The same matchup from the other side 33 against AKs adds nothing new: it is 50.79% for 33 and 49.21% for AKs, the same figures reversed. ## Keep exploring AsKs against 3h3d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength. - [Open AsKs against 3h3d in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=AsKs&p2=3h3d) - [AKs combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/aks.md) - [33 combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/33.md) - [AKs vs T8s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-t8s.md) - [AKs vs T9o](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-t9o.md) - [77 vs 33](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/77-vs-33.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 24 specific AKs against 33 deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [AKs vs T8s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-t8s.md) - [AKs vs T9o: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-t9o.md) - [77 vs 33: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/77-vs-33.md)