--- title: "AKs vs QTo: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-qto.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-qto" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "AKs is a big favorite over QTo before the flop: 66.12% to 33.88% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-44.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-j9s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/77-vs-qto.md"] --- # AKs vs QTo: preflop equity AKs is a big favorite over QTo before the flop: 66.12% to 33.88% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. Counting every board, the equity split is 66.12% for AKs and 33.88% for QTo, so AKs leads by 32.24 points. ## AKs against QTo: the numbers **Exact preflop results for AKs against QTo, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AKs | 65.883 | 0.472 | 33.645 | 66.119 | | QTo | 33.645 | 0.472 | 65.883 | 33.881 | The matchup pits a suited hand against an offsuit hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits. AKs is well ahead, and QTo needs a specific kind of board to catch up. Ties are part of the picture: 0.47% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win. Ranked by equity against a random hand, AKs is number 8 of the 169 starting hands and QTo is number 47. **Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AKs | 54,150,000 | 388,000 | 27,653,000 | | QTo | 27,653,000 | 388,000 | 54,150,000 | The board total is exact, 48 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages. **AKs against QTo read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AKs | 1.952 | 1.518 | 2.972 | 0.512 | | QTo | 0.512 | 2.972 | 1.518 | 1.952 | In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity. ## Who is ahead on which flops By flop texture, AKs' equity runs from 61.82% on monotone flops up to 74.94% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AKs stays ahead on all five textures. **AKs against QTo by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | AKs wins | Ties | QTo wins | AKs equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 61.917 | 0.112 | 37.971 | 61.973 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.770 | 74.446 | 0.994 | 24.560 | 74.943 | | Two-tone | 46.667 | 66.165 | 0.302 | 33.533 | 66.316 | | Monotone | 5.212 | 60.628 | 2.386 | 36.986 | 61.821 | | Paired | 17.091 | 68.217 | 0.604 | 31.179 | 68.519 | Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank. ## Compared with a random hand Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 67.05% for AKs, 57.29% for QTo. Here the change is -0.93 and -23.41 points. **AKs and QTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AKs, all flops | 66.119 | 67.045 | -0.926 | 0.98619 | | AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 61.973 | 67.045 | -5.072 | 0.92435 | | AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 74.943 | 67.045 | +7.898 | 1.11780 | | AKs, two-tone | 66.316 | 67.045 | -0.729 | 0.98913 | | AKs, monotone | 61.821 | 67.045 | -5.224 | 0.92208 | | AKs, paired | 68.519 | 67.045 | +1.474 | 1.02199 | | QTo, all flops | 33.881 | 57.291 | -23.410 | 0.59138 | | QTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 38.027 | 57.291 | -19.264 | 0.66375 | | QTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 25.057 | 57.291 | -32.234 | 0.43736 | | QTo, two-tone | 33.684 | 57.291 | -23.607 | 0.58795 | | QTo, monotone | 38.179 | 57.291 | -19.112 | 0.66640 | | QTo, paired | 31.481 | 57.291 | -25.810 | 0.54949 | ## Does a shared suit matter? Does suit overlap move the numbers? AKs has 65.92% when the hands share a suit and 66.32% when they do not. AKs does better with no shared suit, by 0.40 points. **AKs against QTo by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKs wins | Ties | QTo wins | AKs equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 65.664 | 0.512 | 33.824 | 65.920 | | No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 66.102 | 0.431 | 33.467 | 66.317 | ## How often this matchup comes up AKs against QTo is made up of 48 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0030% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 96 counting both seat orders, 0.0059%. ## A worked example Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, AKs' average share is $132.24 (a gain of $32.24) and QTo's is $67.76 (a loss of $32.24). Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 659 for AKs, 336 for QTo and 5 tied. ## The same matchup from the other side The mirror image, QTo against AKs, is 33.88% to 66.12%, and its address redirects to this page. ## Keep exploring AsKs against QhTd is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength. - [Open AsKs against QhTd in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=AsKs&p2=QhTd) - [AKs combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/aks.md) - [QTo combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/qto.md) - [AKs vs 44](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-44.md) - [AKs vs J9s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-j9s.md) - [77 vs QTo](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/77-vs-qto.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 48 specific AKs against QTo deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [AKs vs 44: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-44.md) - [AKs vs J9s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aks-vs-j9s.md) - [77 vs QTo: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/77-vs-qto.md)