---
title: "AQs vs QTo: preflop equity"
url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqs-vs-qto.md"
canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqs-vs-qto"
last_updated: "2026-10-23"
type: "reference"
summary: "AQs is a big favorite over QTo before the flop: 73.70% to 26.30% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit."
related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqs-vs-44.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqs-vs-j9s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ajs-vs-qto.md"]
---

# AQs vs QTo: preflop equity

AQs is a big favorite over QTo before the flop: 73.70% to 26.30% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit.

The exact count puts AQs at 73.70% and QTo at 26.30% when the two hands see all five board cards.

## AQs against QTo: the numbers

**Exact preflop results for AQs against QTo, in percent**

| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| AQs | 72.981 | 1.436 | 25.583 | 73.699 |
| QTo | 25.583 | 1.436 | 72.981 | 26.301 |

The matchup pits a suited hand against an offsuit hand. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

That is a clear edge, 73.70% to 26.30%, but QTo still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Ties are 1.44% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, AQs is number 10 of the 169 starting hands and QTo is number 47.

**Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all**

| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| AQs | 44,988,000 | 885,000 | 15,770,000 |
| QTo | 15,770,000 | 885,000 | 44,988,000 |

36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

**AQs against QTo read as odds**

| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| AQs | 2.802 | 1.370 | 3.909 | 0.357 |
| QTo | 0.357 | 3.909 | 1.370 | 2.802 |

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

## Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, AQs' equity runs from 66.16% on monotone flops up to 83.53% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AQs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

**AQs against QTo by flop texture, in percent**

| Flop | Share of flops | AQs wins | Ties | QTo wins | AQs equity |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.177 | 68.946 | 1.287 | 29.767 | 69.590 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 82.975 | 1.119 | 15.906 | 83.534 |
| Two-tone | 46.527 | 72.823 | 1.152 | 26.025 | 73.399 |
| Monotone | 5.192 | 64.757 | 2.802 | 32.441 | 66.158 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 76.785 | 2.130 | 21.085 | 77.850 |

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

## Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 66.21% for AQs and 57.29% for QTo. This opponent changes them by +7.49 and -30.99 points.

**AQs and QTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent**

| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| AQs, all flops | 73.699 | 66.209 | +7.490 | 1.11313 |
| AQs, rainbow, ten or higher | 69.590 | 66.209 | +3.381 | 1.05107 |
| AQs, rainbow, nine or lower | 83.534 | 66.209 | +17.325 | 1.26167 |
| AQs, two-tone | 73.399 | 66.209 | +7.190 | 1.10860 |
| AQs, monotone | 66.158 | 66.209 | -0.051 | 0.99923 |
| AQs, paired | 77.850 | 66.209 | +11.641 | 1.17582 |
| QTo, all flops | 26.301 | 57.291 | -30.990 | 0.45908 |
| QTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 30.410 | 57.291 | -26.881 | 0.53080 |
| QTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 16.466 | 57.291 | -40.825 | 0.28741 |
| QTo, two-tone | 26.601 | 57.291 | -30.690 | 0.46431 |
| QTo, monotone | 33.842 | 57.291 | -23.449 | 0.59070 |
| QTo, paired | 22.150 | 57.291 | -35.141 | 0.38662 |

## Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and AQs holds 73.45%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 73.83%. AQs does better with no shared suit, by 0.38 points.

**AQs against QTo by suit overlap, in percent**

| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AQs wins | Ties | QTo wins | AQs equity |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Share a suit | 12 | 33.33 | 72.689 | 1.519 | 25.792 | 73.449 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 66.67 | 73.127 | 1.395 | 25.478 | 73.825 |

## How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 36 are AQs in one seat and QTo in the other (0.0022%); with the seats swapped too, 72 (0.0044%).

## A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. AQs averages $147.40 from the $200, up $47.40; QTo averages $52.60, down $47.40.

Think in thousands: about 730 of 1,000 go to AQs, about 256 go to QTo, and about 14 are chopped.

## The same matchup from the other side

QTo against AQs adds nothing new: it is 26.30% for QTo and 73.70% for AQs, the same figures reversed.

## Keep exploring

Try AsQs against QhTd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

- [Open AsQs against QhTd in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=AsQs&p2=QhTd)
- [AQs combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/aqs.md)
- [QTo combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/qto.md)
- [AQs vs 44](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqs-vs-44.md)
- [AQs vs J9s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqs-vs-j9s.md)
- [AJs vs QTo](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ajs-vs-qto.md)
- [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md)

## How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 36 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

## Related

- [AQs vs 44: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqs-vs-44.md)
- [AQs vs J9s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqs-vs-j9s.md)
- [AJs vs QTo: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ajs-vs-qto.md)
