--- title: "ATs vs 22: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ats-vs-22.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ats-vs-22" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "ATs vs 22 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 50.86% to 49.14% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ats-vs-97s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ats-vs-87s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqo-vs-22.md"] --- # ATs vs 22: preflop equity ATs vs 22 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 50.86% to 49.14% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. Averaged over every possible board, ATs is ahead of 22 by 1.72 points of equity, 50.86% to 49.14%. ## ATs against 22: the numbers **Exact preflop results for ATs against 22, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ATs | 50.548 | 0.618 | 48.834 | 50.857 | | 22 | 48.834 | 0.618 | 50.548 | 49.143 | ATs, a suited hand, plays 22, a pocket pair. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead. That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. A split pot comes up on 0.62% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that. By strength against a random hand, ATs holds place 13 of 169 and 22 holds place 87. **Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ATs | 20,773,000 | 254,000 | 20,068,000 | | 22 | 20,068,000 | 254,000 | 20,773,000 | 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand. **ATs against 22 read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ATs | 1.035 | 1.978 | 2.048 | 0.966 | | 22 | 0.966 | 2.048 | 1.978 | 1.035 | In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity. ## Who is ahead on which flops By flop texture, ATs' equity runs from 26.43% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 55.37% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. The lead reverses on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower): there 22 is the favorite even though ATs is ahead overall. **ATs against 22 by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | ATs wins | Ties | 22 wins | ATs equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 55.247 | 0.235 | 44.518 | 55.365 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 25.912 | 1.033 | 73.055 | 26.429 | | Two-tone | 46.545 | 51.386 | 0.366 | 48.248 | 51.569 | | Monotone | 5.212 | 48.798 | 3.737 | 47.465 | 50.666 | | Paired | 17.334 | 51.129 | 0.750 | 48.121 | 51.504 | Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank. ## Compared with a random hand How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 64.60%, ATs changes by -13.74 points, and 22, from 50.33%, by -1.19. **ATs and 22 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ATs, all flops | 50.857 | 64.602 | -13.745 | 0.78724 | | ATs, rainbow, ten or higher | 55.365 | 64.602 | -9.237 | 0.85702 | | ATs, rainbow, nine or lower | 26.429 | 64.602 | -38.173 | 0.40910 | | ATs, two-tone | 51.569 | 64.602 | -13.033 | 0.79826 | | ATs, monotone | 50.666 | 64.602 | -13.936 | 0.78428 | | ATs, paired | 51.504 | 64.602 | -13.098 | 0.79725 | | 22, all flops | 49.143 | 50.334 | -1.191 | 0.97634 | | 22, rainbow, ten or higher | 44.635 | 50.334 | -5.699 | 0.88678 | | 22, rainbow, nine or lower | 73.571 | 50.334 | +23.237 | 1.46166 | | 22, two-tone | 48.431 | 50.334 | -1.903 | 0.96219 | | 22, monotone | 49.334 | 50.334 | -1.000 | 0.98013 | | 22, paired | 48.496 | 50.334 | -1.838 | 0.96348 | ## Does a shared suit matter? Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and ATs holds 50.68%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 51.04%. ATs does better with no shared suit, by 0.36 points. **ATs against 22 by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | ATs wins | Ties | 22 wins | ATs equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 50.358 | 0.638 | 49.004 | 50.677 | | No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 50.737 | 0.599 | 48.664 | 51.036 | ## How often this matchup comes up You will meet this exact matchup 0.0030% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 48 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order. ## A worked example Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: ATs averages $101.72 back, ahead of its $100 by $1.72, while 22 averages $98.28, short of its $100 by $1.72. Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 506 for ATs, 488 for 22 and 6 tied. ## The same matchup from the other side Read it from the other side: 22 against ATs is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 22 holds 49.14% and ATs holds 50.86%. That address sends you back to this page. ## Keep exploring Try AsTs against 2h2d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking. - [Open AsTs against 2h2d in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=AsTs&p2=2h2d) - [ATs combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/ats.md) - [22 combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/22.md) - [ATs vs 97s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ats-vs-97s.md) - [ATs vs 87s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ats-vs-87s.md) - [AQo vs 22](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqo-vs-22.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 24 ways to deal one ATs and one 22 without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [ATs vs 97s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ats-vs-97s.md) - [ATs vs 87s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/ats-vs-87s.md) - [AQo vs 22: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/aqo-vs-22.md)