--- title: "JTs vs 44: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/jts-vs-44.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/jts-vs-44" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "JTs vs 44 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 52.71% to 47.29% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/jts-vs-j9s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/jts-vs-jto.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/a2s-vs-44.md"] --- # JTs vs 44: preflop equity JTs vs 44 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 52.71% to 47.29% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. If JTs and 44 get all the chips in before the flop, JTs owns 52.71% of the pot in the long run and 44 owns 47.29%. ## JTs against 44: the numbers **Exact preflop results for JTs against 44, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | JTs | 52.235 | 0.949 | 46.816 | 52.709 | | 44 | 46.816 | 0.949 | 52.235 | 47.291 | JTs is a suited hand and 44 is a pocket pair. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear. JTs leads by less than 6 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. Split pots make up 0.95% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each. For context, JTs sits at number 45 of 169 starting hands and 44 at number 48 when each is run against a random hand. **Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | JTs | 21,466,000 | 390,000 | 19,239,000 | | 44 | 19,239,000 | 390,000 | 21,466,000 | 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand. **JTs against 44 read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | JTs | 1.115 | 1.914 | 2.136 | 0.897 | | 44 | 0.897 | 2.136 | 1.914 | 1.115 | The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity. ## Who is ahead on which flops Split by what the flop looks like, JTs peaks at 58.17% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 30.42% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and paired flops favor 44, the hand that is behind overall. **JTs against 44 by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | JTs wins | Ties | 44 wins | JTs equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 57.909 | 0.513 | 41.578 | 58.166 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 30.118 | 0.595 | 69.287 | 30.415 | | Two-tone | 46.545 | 54.028 | 0.507 | 45.465 | 54.281 | | Monotone | 5.212 | 50.524 | 2.982 | 46.494 | 52.015 | | Paired | 17.334 | 47.938 | 2.274 | 49.788 | 49.075 | A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank. ## Compared with a random hand The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -4.82 points for JTs, from 57.53%, and -9.73 for 44, from 57.02%. **JTs and 44 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | JTs, all flops | 52.709 | 57.528 | -4.819 | 0.91623 | | JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 58.166 | 57.528 | +0.638 | 1.01109 | | JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 30.415 | 57.528 | -27.113 | 0.52870 | | JTs, two-tone | 54.281 | 57.528 | -3.247 | 0.94356 | | JTs, monotone | 52.015 | 57.528 | -5.513 | 0.90417 | | JTs, paired | 49.075 | 57.528 | -8.453 | 0.85306 | | 44, all flops | 47.291 | 57.023 | -9.732 | 0.82933 | | 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 41.834 | 57.023 | -15.189 | 0.73363 | | 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 69.585 | 57.023 | +12.562 | 1.22030 | | 44, two-tone | 45.719 | 57.023 | -11.304 | 0.80176 | | 44, monotone | 47.985 | 57.023 | -9.038 | 0.84150 | | 44, paired | 50.925 | 57.023 | -6.098 | 0.89306 | ## Does a shared suit matter? The suit split reads 52.57% for JTs with a shared suit and 52.85% without one. JTs does better with no shared suit, by 0.28 points. **JTs against 44 by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JTs wins | Ties | 44 wins | JTs equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.079 | 0.988 | 46.933 | 52.573 | | No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.390 | 0.911 | 46.699 | 52.846 | ## How often this matchup comes up You will meet this exact matchup 0.0030% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 48 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order. ## A worked example To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. JTs is worth $105.42 on average (+$5.42); 44 is worth $94.58 (-$5.42). Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 522 outright wins for JTs, 468 for 44, and 10 split pots. ## The same matchup from the other side Swap the hands and you get 44 with 47.29% against JTs with 52.71%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first. ## Keep exploring Open the calculator with JsTs against 4h4d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking. - [Open JsTs against 4h4d in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=JsTs&p2=4h4d) - [JTs combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/jts.md) - [44 combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/44.md) - [JTs vs J9s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/jts-vs-j9s.md) - [JTs vs JTo](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/jts-vs-jto.md) - [A2s vs 44](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/a2s-vs-44.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 24 ways to deal one JTs and one 44 without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [JTs vs J9s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/jts-vs-j9s.md) - [JTs vs JTo: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/jts-vs-jto.md) - [A2s vs 44: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/a2s-vs-44.md)