--- title: "K9s vs 44: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/k9s-vs-44.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/k9s-vs-44" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "K9s vs 44 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 49.59% to 50.41% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/k9s-vs-j9s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/k9s-vs-jto.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/a5s-vs-44.md"] --- # K9s vs 44: preflop equity K9s vs 44 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 49.59% to 50.41% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. Averaged over every possible board, 44 is ahead of K9s by 0.82 points of equity, 50.41% to 49.59%. ## K9s against 44: the numbers **Exact preflop results for K9s against 44, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | K9s | 49.250 | 0.684 | 50.066 | 49.592 | | 44 | 50.066 | 0.684 | 49.250 | 50.408 | We compare a suited hand with a pocket pair. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead. 44 leads by less than 1 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. Split pots make up 0.68% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each. Place 29 of 169 belongs to K9s and place 48 belongs to 44 in the ranking against a random hand. **Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | K9s | 20,239,000 | 281,000 | 20,575,000 | | 44 | 20,575,000 | 281,000 | 20,239,000 | Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate. **K9s against 44 read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | K9s | 0.984 | 2.030 | 1.997 | 1.016 | | 44 | 1.016 | 1.997 | 2.030 | 0.984 | The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity. ## Who is ahead on which flops The flop changes the picture. 44 does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 58.91%, and worst on two-tone flops, at 49.09%. K9s takes over on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and two-tone flops, so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards. **K9s against 44 by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | K9s wins | Ties | 44 wins | K9s equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.220 | 50.320 | 0.338 | 49.342 | 50.489 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.689 | 40.648 | 0.882 | 58.470 | 41.089 | | Two-tone | 46.545 | 50.708 | 0.410 | 48.882 | 50.913 | | Monotone | 5.212 | 48.240 | 2.889 | 48.871 | 49.685 | | Paired | 17.334 | 46.901 | 1.198 | 51.901 | 47.500 | Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank. ## Compared with a random hand Start from the random-hand figures, 59.99% for K9s and 57.02% for 44. This opponent changes them by -10.40 and -6.61 points. **K9s and 44 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | K9s, all flops | 49.592 | 59.988 | -10.396 | 0.82670 | | K9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 50.489 | 59.988 | -9.499 | 0.84165 | | K9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 41.089 | 59.988 | -18.899 | 0.68495 | | K9s, two-tone | 50.913 | 59.988 | -9.075 | 0.84872 | | K9s, monotone | 49.685 | 59.988 | -10.303 | 0.82825 | | K9s, paired | 47.500 | 59.988 | -12.488 | 0.79183 | | 44, all flops | 50.408 | 57.023 | -6.615 | 0.88399 | | 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 49.511 | 57.023 | -7.512 | 0.86826 | | 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 58.911 | 57.023 | +1.888 | 1.03311 | | 44, two-tone | 49.087 | 57.023 | -7.936 | 0.86083 | | 44, monotone | 50.315 | 57.023 | -6.708 | 0.88236 | | 44, paired | 52.500 | 57.023 | -4.523 | 0.92068 | ## Does a shared suit matter? When the hands share a suit, 44 holds 50.59%; when they do not, it holds 50.23%. 44 does better with a shared suit, by 0.36 points. **K9s against 44 by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | K9s wins | Ties | 44 wins | K9s equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 49.048 | 0.722 | 50.230 | 49.409 | | No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 49.451 | 0.647 | 49.902 | 49.774 | ## How often this matchup comes up The class pair covers 24 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0015% of 1,624,350, and 48 (0.0030%) in either order. ## A worked example Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. 44's equity of 50.41% is worth $100.82, a $0.82 edge, and K9s' 49.59% is worth $99.18, which is $0.82 under its stake. Per 1,000 deals: 44 wins about 501, K9s wins about 492, and about 7 end in a split pot. ## The same matchup from the other side Read it from the other side: 44 against K9s is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 44 holds 50.41% and K9s holds 49.59%. That address sends you back to this page. ## Keep exploring Try Ks9s against 4h4d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking. - [Open Ks9s against 4h4d in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=Ks9s&p2=4h4d) - [K9s combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/k9s.md) - [44 combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/44.md) - [K9s vs J9s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/k9s-vs-j9s.md) - [K9s vs JTo](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/k9s-vs-jto.md) - [A5s vs 44](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/a5s-vs-44.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [K9s vs J9s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/k9s-vs-j9s.md) - [K9s vs JTo: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/k9s-vs-jto.md) - [A5s vs 44: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/a5s-vs-44.md)