--- title: "QTo vs 22: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-22.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-22" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "QTo vs 22 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 50.58% to 49.42% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-97s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-87s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-22.md"] --- # QTo vs 22: preflop equity QTo vs 22 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 50.58% to 49.42% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. Before any board card is dealt, QTo holds 50.58% equity against 22, which leaves 22 with 49.42%. ## QTo against 22: the numbers **Exact preflop results for QTo against 22, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | QTo | 50.002 | 1.155 | 48.843 | 50.579 | | 22 | 48.843 | 1.155 | 50.002 | 49.421 | The first hand is an offsuit hand; the second is a pocket pair. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead. QTo leads by less than 2 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. Ties are part of the picture: 1.16% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win. By strength against a random hand, QTo holds place 47 of 169 and 22 holds place 87. **Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | QTo | 61,645,000 | 1,424,000 | 60,217,000 | | 22 | 60,217,000 | 1,424,000 | 61,645,000 | Exact total: 72 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate. **QTo against 22 read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | QTo | 1.023 | 2.000 | 2.047 | 0.977 | | 22 | 0.977 | 2.047 | 2.000 | 1.023 | The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call. ## Who is ahead on which flops The flop changes the picture. QTo does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 56.77%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 25.68%. Watch for low rainbow flops (nine high or lower): on those flops 22 holds the better equity. **QTo against 22 by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | QTo wins | Ties | 22 wins | QTo equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 56.475 | 0.579 | 42.946 | 56.765 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 25.144 | 1.065 | 73.791 | 25.677 | | Two-tone | 46.485 | 50.307 | 0.661 | 49.032 | 50.637 | | Monotone | 5.151 | 51.214 | 2.905 | 45.881 | 52.666 | | Paired | 17.333 | 48.647 | 2.813 | 48.540 | 50.054 | A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank. ## Compared with a random hand A random hand would give QTo 57.29% and 22 50.33%. Against each other the change is -6.71 points for QTo and -0.91 for 22. **QTo and 22 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | QTo, all flops | 50.579 | 57.291 | -6.712 | 0.88284 | | QTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 56.765 | 57.291 | -0.526 | 0.99082 | | QTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 25.677 | 57.291 | -31.614 | 0.44819 | | QTo, two-tone | 50.637 | 57.291 | -6.654 | 0.88386 | | QTo, monotone | 52.666 | 57.291 | -4.625 | 0.91927 | | QTo, paired | 50.054 | 57.291 | -7.237 | 0.87368 | | 22, all flops | 49.421 | 50.334 | -0.913 | 0.98186 | | 22, rainbow, ten or higher | 43.235 | 50.334 | -7.099 | 0.85896 | | 22, rainbow, nine or lower | 74.323 | 50.334 | +23.989 | 1.47660 | | 22, two-tone | 49.363 | 50.334 | -0.971 | 0.98071 | | 22, monotone | 47.334 | 50.334 | -3.000 | 0.94040 | | 22, paired | 49.946 | 50.334 | -0.388 | 0.99229 | ## Does a shared suit matter? Does suit overlap move the numbers? QTo has 50.67% when the hands share a suit and 50.14% when they do not. QTo does better with a shared suit, by 0.53 points. **QTo against 22 by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | QTo wins | Ties | 22 wins | QTo equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 50.086 | 1.162 | 48.752 | 50.667 | | No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 49.581 | 1.119 | 49.300 | 50.140 | ## How often this matchup comes up Exactly 72 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0044% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 144, or 0.0089%. ## A worked example With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $101.16 for QTo and $98.84 for 22; the first side gains $1.16 per all-in and the second gives up $1.16. Think in thousands: about 500 of 1,000 go to QTo, about 488 go to 22, and about 12 are chopped. ## The same matchup from the other side If you came looking for 22 against QTo, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 49.42% and 50.58%. ## Keep exploring QsTh against 2d2c is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength. - [Open QsTh against 2d2c in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=QsTh&p2=2d2c) - [QTo combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/qto.md) - [22 combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/22.md) - [QTo vs 97s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-97s.md) - [QTo vs 87s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-87s.md) - [44 vs 22](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-22.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 72 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [QTo vs 97s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-97s.md) - [QTo vs 87s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-87s.md) - [44 vs 22: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-22.md)