--- title: "QTo vs 33: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-33.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-33" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "QTo vs 33 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 49.92% to 50.08% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-t8s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-t9o.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-33.md"] --- # QTo vs 33: preflop equity QTo vs 33 is close to a coin flip before the flop: 49.92% to 50.08% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, 33 finishes with 50.08% of the pot and QTo with 49.92%. ## QTo against 33: the numbers **Exact preflop results for QTo against 33, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | QTo | 49.440 | 0.961 | 49.599 | 49.920 | | 33 | 49.599 | 0.961 | 49.440 | 50.080 | The first hand is an offsuit hand; the second is a pocket pair. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear. This is close to even money, with 33 a little ahead. Ties are 0.96% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot. Place 47 of 169 belongs to QTo and place 66 belongs to 33 in the ranking against a random hand. **Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | QTo | 60,953,000 | 1,185,000 | 61,149,000 | | 33 | 61,149,000 | 1,185,000 | 60,953,000 | Exact total: 72 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate. **QTo against 33 read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | QTo | 0.997 | 2.023 | 2.016 | 1.003 | | 33 | 1.003 | 2.016 | 2.023 | 0.997 | In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity. ## Who is ahead on which flops Break the boards down by their first three cards and 33 is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (75.23%) and weakest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (43.49%). Watch for rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, two-tone flops and monotone flops: on those flops QTo holds the better equity. **QTo against 33 by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | QTo wins | Ties | 33 wins | QTo equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 56.260 | 0.497 | 43.243 | 56.508 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 24.331 | 0.888 | 74.781 | 24.775 | | Two-tone | 46.485 | 49.971 | 0.562 | 49.467 | 50.252 | | Monotone | 5.151 | 50.888 | 2.452 | 46.660 | 52.114 | | Paired | 17.333 | 47.005 | 2.274 | 50.721 | 48.142 | Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank. ## Compared with a random hand Relative to a random opponent, QTo changes by -7.37 points (baseline 57.29%) and 33 by -3.61 points (baseline 53.69%). **QTo and 33 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | QTo, all flops | 49.920 | 57.291 | -7.371 | 0.87134 | | QTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 56.508 | 57.291 | -0.783 | 0.98633 | | QTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 24.775 | 57.291 | -32.516 | 0.43244 | | QTo, two-tone | 50.252 | 57.291 | -7.039 | 0.87714 | | QTo, monotone | 52.114 | 57.291 | -5.177 | 0.90964 | | QTo, paired | 48.142 | 57.291 | -9.149 | 0.84031 | | 33, all flops | 50.080 | 53.693 | -3.613 | 0.93271 | | 33, rainbow, ten or higher | 43.492 | 53.693 | -10.201 | 0.81001 | | 33, rainbow, nine or lower | 75.225 | 53.693 | +21.532 | 1.40102 | | 33, two-tone | 49.748 | 53.693 | -3.945 | 0.92653 | | 33, monotone | 47.886 | 53.693 | -5.807 | 0.89185 | | 33, paired | 51.858 | 53.693 | -1.835 | 0.96582 | ## Does a shared suit matter? Split by suits, the deals give 33 49.99% when the hands overlap in a suit and 50.52% when they do not. 33 does better with no shared suit, by 0.53 points. **QTo against 33 by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | QTo wins | Ties | 33 wins | QTo equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 49.523 | 0.972 | 49.505 | 50.009 | | No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 49.023 | 0.906 | 50.071 | 49.476 | ## How often this matchup comes up How often does it happen? 72 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0044%) are QTo against 33, and 144 (0.0089%) if either hand may sit in either seat. ## A worked example Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. 33's equity of 50.08% is worth $100.16, a $0.16 edge, and QTo's 49.92% is worth $99.84, which is $0.16 under its stake. Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 496 for 33, 494 for QTo and 10 tied. ## The same matchup from the other side The reversed view, 33 against QTo, shows 50.08% for 33 and 49.92% for QTo. It is the same count, so it redirects here. ## Keep exploring Open the calculator with QsTh against 3d3c already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking. - [Open QsTh against 3d3c in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=QsTh&p2=3d3c) - [QTo combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/qto.md) - [33 combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/33.md) - [QTo vs T8s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-t8s.md) - [QTo vs T9o](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-t9o.md) - [44 vs 33](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-33.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 72 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [QTo vs T8s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-t8s.md) - [QTo vs T9o: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/qto-vs-t9o.md) - [44 vs 33: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/44-vs-33.md)