--- title: "TT vs 44: preflop equity" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/tt-vs-44.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/tt-vs-44" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "TT is a big favorite over 44 before the flop: 80.98% to 19.02% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/equity/tt-vs-j9s.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/tt-vs-jto.md", "https://georgelipoker.com/equity/99-vs-44.md"] --- # TT vs 44: preflop equity TT is a big favorite over 44 before the flop: 80.98% to 19.02% equity, counted exactly over every board, with the split by flop type and suit. The exact count puts TT at 80.98% and 44 at 19.02% when the two hands see all five board cards. ## TT against 44: the numbers **Exact preflop results for TT against 44, in percent** | Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TT | 80.720 | 0.517 | 18.763 | 80.978 | | 44 | 18.763 | 0.517 | 80.720 | 19.022 | Both hands are pocket pairs: TT and 44. A pair against a smaller pair is the classic crush: the smaller pair needs one of its two remaining cards to make a set. This is one of the lopsided matchups: 44 wins only 18.76% of the boards outright. About 0.52% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands. Ranked by equity against a random hand, TT is number 5 of the 169 starting hands and 44 is number 48. **Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all** | Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TT | 49,758,000 | 319,000 | 11,566,000 | | 44 | 11,566,000 | 319,000 | 49,758,000 | The board total is exact, 36 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages. **TT against 44 read as odds** | Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TT | 4.257 | 1.239 | 5.330 | 0.235 | | 44 | 0.235 | 5.330 | 1.239 | 4.257 | In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity. ## Who is ahead on which flops TT prefers paired flops, where it holds 86.43%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 67.27%. TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal. **TT against 44 by flop texture, in percent** | Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | 44 wins | TT equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 83.683 | 0.294 | 16.023 | 83.830 | | Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 66.921 | 0.693 | 32.386 | 67.267 | | Two-tone | 46.363 | 79.693 | 0.364 | 19.943 | 79.875 | | Monotone | 5.152 | 74.467 | 2.029 | 23.504 | 75.481 | | Paired | 17.576 | 86.071 | 0.724 | 13.205 | 86.433 | Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank. ## Compared with a random hand Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts TT from 75.01% by +5.97 points and 44 from 57.02% by -38.00 points. **TT and 44 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent** | Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TT, all flops | 80.978 | 75.012 | +5.966 | 1.07953 | | TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 83.830 | 75.012 | +8.818 | 1.11755 | | TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 67.267 | 75.012 | -7.745 | 0.89675 | | TT, two-tone | 79.875 | 75.012 | +4.863 | 1.06483 | | TT, monotone | 75.481 | 75.012 | +0.469 | 1.00625 | | TT, paired | 86.433 | 75.012 | +11.421 | 1.15226 | | 44, all flops | 19.022 | 57.023 | -38.001 | 0.33358 | | 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 16.170 | 57.023 | -40.853 | 0.28357 | | 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 32.733 | 57.023 | -24.290 | 0.57403 | | 44, two-tone | 20.125 | 57.023 | -36.898 | 0.35293 | | 44, monotone | 24.519 | 57.023 | -32.504 | 0.42998 | | 44, paired | 13.567 | 57.023 | -43.456 | 0.23792 | ## Does a shared suit matter? Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common TT has 81.11% equity, and with none in common it has 80.32%. TT does better with a shared suit, by 0.79 points. **TT against 44 by suit overlap, in percent** | Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | 44 wins | TT equity | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 80.846 | 0.530 | 18.624 | 81.111 | | No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 80.092 | 0.449 | 19.459 | 80.316 | ## How often this matchup comes up The class pair covers 36 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0022% of 1,624,350, and 72 (0.0044%) in either order. ## A worked example Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, TT's average share is $161.96 (a gain of $61.96) and 44's is $38.04 (a loss of $61.96). Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 807 for TT, 188 for 44 and 5 ties. ## The same matchup from the other side The reversed view, 44 against TT, shows 19.02% for 44 and 80.98% for TT. It is the same count, so it redirects here. ## Keep exploring Try TsTh against 4d4c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking. - [Open TsTh against 4d4c in the equity calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/equity-calculator.md#p1=TsTh&p2=4d4c) - [TT combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/tt.md) - [44 combos](https://georgelipoker.com/combos/44.md) - [TT vs J9s](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/tt-vs-j9s.md) - [TT vs JTo](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/tt-vs-jto.md) - [99 vs 44](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/99-vs-44.md) - [All hand matchups](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md) ## How this was computed Nothing here is simulated. The 36 deals of TT against 44 fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops. Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used. ## Related - [TT vs J9s: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/tt-vs-j9s.md) - [TT vs JTo: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/tt-vs-jto.md) - [99 vs 44: preflop equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity/99-vs-44.md)