--- title: "6 Outs on the Turn: Odds to Hit" url: "https://georgelipoker.com/outs/6-outs-turn.md" canonical_url: "https://georgelipoker.com/outs/6-outs-turn" last_updated: "2026-10-23" type: "reference" summary: "6 outs on the turn: a 13.04% chance on the river, 6.67 : 1 against. See the rule of 2 error and the bets you can call." related: ["https://georgelipoker.com/outs.md"] --- # 6 Outs on the Turn: Odds to Hit 6 outs on the turn: a 13.04% chance on the river, 6.67 : 1 against. See the rule of 2 error and the bets you can call. Counting 6 outs on the turn puts your chance on the river at 13.04%. This page turns that figure into odds, tests the rule of 2 against it and lines it up with 12 bet sizes. - Chance to hit on the river: 13.04% (6 outs, one card to come) - Odds against: 6.67 : 1 - Rule of 2 estimate: 12% (-1.04 points from the exact chance) - Unseen cards: 46 ## The count behind 6 outs on the turn A 13.04% chance is the kind of figure that makes bet size the whole question. A small bet can be called, a large one cannot, and the bets section below puts a number on the line. - Unseen cards: 46 - Your outs: 6 - Cards that miss: 40 - Chance on the river: 13.04% - Chance on the next card (the river): 13.04% - Odds against hitting: 6.67 : 1 - Estimate from the rule of 2: 12% - Error of the rule of 2: -1.04 points - Chance on the river = k / u, with u = 46 unseen cards - For 6 outs: 6 / 46 = 13.04% The river is the last card, so the by-the-river chance and the next-card chance are the same number. For 6 outs it is 6 / 46, or 13.04%. The true chance is 13.04%, which beats the 12% that the rule of 2 reports by 1.04 points. The adjusted rule only applies from the flop above 8 outs, so 6 outs on the turn use the plain rule of 2: 2 x 6 = 12%. ## Which holding has 6 outs? Which hand has exactly 6 outs? Think of two overcards. That holding is the usual way to reach this count. An out that also completes a better hand for a rival is a poor out. With one shared out among your 6 outs, the chance on the river falls from 13.04% to 10.87%, a loss of 2.17 points. 6 outs on the turn when some outs are shared with a better hand | Shared outs | Effective outs | Chance on the river | Chance given up | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0 | 6 | 13.04% | 0.00 points | | 1 | 5 | 10.87% | 2.17 points | | 2 | 4 | 8.70% | 4.35 points | | 3 | 3 | 6.52% | 6.52 points | ## The bets 6 outs can call on the turn The table prices every bet against 13.04%. Margin is your chance minus the equity a call needs, and no bet size is a call. 6 outs on the turn against every bet size, with your chance on the river at 13.04% | Bet size | Equity a call needs | Margin over it | Verdict | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1/4 pot | 16.67% | -3.62 points | Fold | | [1/3 pot](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-turn-vs-third-pot.md) | 20.00% | -6.96 points | Fold | | 2/5 pot | 22.22% | -9.18 points | Fold | | 1/2 pot | 25.00% | -11.96 points | Fold | | [2/3 pot](https://georgelipoker.com/call-or-fold/6-outs-turn-vs-two-thirds-pot.md) | 28.57% | -15.53 points | Fold | | 3/4 pot | 30.00% | -16.96 points | Fold | | full pot | 33.33% | -20.29 points | Fold | | 1.25x pot | 35.71% | -22.67 points | Fold | | 1.5x pot | 37.50% | -24.46 points | Fold | | 2x pot | 40.00% | -26.96 points | Fold | | 3x pot | 42.86% | -29.81 points | Fold | | 4x pot | 44.44% | -31.40 points | Fold | Your 13.04% stretches to a bet of 17.65% of the pot. Put in dollars, that is $17.65 when the pot holds $100. ## Nearby counts on both streets Compare 6 outs with the counts on either side. Each step is worth near 2.17 points on the turn, and the other street is shown next to it. Counts near 6: the chance by the river on the turn and on the flop | Outs | Turn, by the river | Flop, by the river | | --- | --- | --- | | [4](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/4-outs-turn.md) | 8.70% | 16.47% | | [5](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/5-outs-turn.md) | 10.87% | 20.35% | | 6 (this page) | 13.04% | 24.14% | | [7](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/7-outs-turn.md) | 15.22% | 27.84% | | [8](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/8-outs-turn.md) | 17.39% | 31.45% | - [6 outs on the flop](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/6-outs-flop.md): 24.14% by the river. - [5 outs on the turn](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/5-outs-turn.md): 10.87% on the river. - [7 outs on the turn](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/7-outs-turn.md): 15.22% on the river. ## The river is the last card The turn call buys the last card. 13.04% is the chance, 25.00% is the price of a half-pot bet, and the margin of -11.96 points gives Fold. ## Questions ### Out of 100 hands, how many hit with 6 outs on the turn? With 6 outs on the turn you hit on the river 13.04% of the time, about 13 of every 100 hands, because 6 of the 46 unseen cards are outs. The odds against are 6.67 : 1. ### Is the rule of 2 close enough for 6 outs? The rule of 2 gives 12% for 6 outs against an exact 13.04%, an error of -1.04 points. The shortcut sits below the true chance, so the exact figure is better for you. ### Are 6 outs on the turn enough to call a half-pot bet? At 13.04% on the river, you can call none of the 12 bet sizes. A half-pot bet needs 25.00%, a margin of -11.96 points, so against half the pot the verdict is Fold. The largest bet you can call is 17.65% of the pot, or $17.65 on a $100 pot. ### What if some of my 6 outs also help a better hand? Take them off the count first. With one shared out the chance on the river falls from 13.04% to 10.87%, and with 3 shared it falls to 6.52%, a loss of 6.52 points. The effective count is then 3 outs. ## How this is computed The chance to hit on the river from the turn is k / 46, where 46 is the number of unseen cards and k is your effective outs. For 6 outs that is 6 / 46 = 13.04%. The next card is the river, so both chances are the same. The rule of 2 figure is 2 x k, here 12%, and its error is that figure minus the exact chance in percentage points, here -1.04 points. The count covers every card you cannot see. All 46 unseen cards stay in it, the call is paid in full, and the pot is $100 before the bet, so the verdicts are a plain price check. Computed from the closed form by the GeorgeLiPoker math library. ## Related pages - [Outs calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/outs-calculator.md): Enter your own count and street. - [Pot odds calculator](https://georgelipoker.com/tools/pot-odds-calculator.md): Enter a pot and a bet to see the equity a call needs. - [Outs and odds to hit](https://georgelipoker.com/outs.md): The chance to hit for every count on both streets. - [6 outs on the flop](https://georgelipoker.com/outs/6-outs-flop.md): The same count with two cards to come. - [Pot odds for a pot-size bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/pot-size.md): The equity a pot-size call needs. - [Pot odds for a 4x-pot bet](https://georgelipoker.com/pot-odds/4x-pot.md): The equity a 4x-pot call needs. - [Hand equity](https://georgelipoker.com/equity.md): Your chance to win against a named hand. ## Related - [Outs and Odds to Hit by Street](https://georgelipoker.com/outs.md)