33 vs 76s: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, 76s finishes with 51.75% of the pot and 33 with 48.25%.

33

48.25%

Wins 47.13%, ties 2.23%

76s

51.75%

Wins 50.64%, ties 2.23%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

33 against 76s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 33 against 76s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
3347.1342.23350.63348.251
76s50.6332.23347.13451.749

The matchup pits a pocket pair against a suited hand. One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect.

That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. Ties are part of the picture: 2.23% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

33 ranks number 66 of 169 starting hands, and 76s ranks number 115, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
3319,370,000918,00020,808,000
76s20,808,000918,00019,370,000

The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

33 against 76s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
330.9322.1221.9751.072
76s1.0721.9752.1220.932

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: 76s holds 61.90% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 47.85% on paired flops. Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and paired flops favor 33, the hand that is behind overall.

33 against 76s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops33 winsTies76s wins33 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84449.8931.29548.81250.541
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06537.6970.81261.49138.103
Two-tone46.54546.0411.15752.80246.620
Monotone5.21246.4153.85549.73048.342
Paired17.33448.9286.45044.62252.153

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, 33 holds 53.69% and 76s holds 45.37%. Facing each other changes that by -5.44 points for 33 and +6.38 points for 76s.

33 and 76s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
33, all flops48.25153.693-5.4420.89865
33, rainbow, ten or higher50.54153.693-3.1520.94130
33, rainbow, nine or lower38.10353.693-15.5900.70965
33, two-tone46.62053.693-7.0730.86827
33, monotone48.34253.693-5.3510.90034
33, paired52.15353.693-1.5400.97132
76s, all flops51.74945.372+6.3771.14055
76s, rainbow, ten or higher49.45945.372+4.0871.09008
76s, rainbow, nine or lower61.89745.372+16.5251.36421
76s, two-tone53.38045.372+8.0081.17650
76s, monotone51.65845.372+6.2861.13854
76s, paired47.84745.372+2.4751.05455

Does a shared suit matter?

Of the deals of this matchup, 12 share a suit (76s at 51.62%) and 12 do not (51.88%). 76s does better with no shared suit, by 0.26 points.

33 against 76s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals33 winsTies76s wins33 equity
Share a suit1250.0047.2462.26050.49448.376
No shared suit1250.0047.0222.20650.77248.125

How often this matchup comes up

33 against 76s is made up of 24 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0015% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 48 counting both seat orders, 0.0030%.

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: 76s averages $103.50 back, ahead of its $100 by $3.50, while 33 averages $96.50, short of its $100 by $3.50.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 506 for 76s, 472 for 33 and 22 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, 76s against 33, shows 51.75% for 76s and 48.25% for 33. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

3s3h against 7d6d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 24 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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