Situations priced
480
outs, street and bet size
- Linked in the tables5 bet sizes200
- Outs counts1 to 2020
- Streetsflop and turn2
Flop: call or fold by outs and bet size
From the flop you have two cards to come, so every chance below is the chance to hit by the river. Each table fixes one bet size and runs the outs from 1 to 20.
| Outs | By the river | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 out | 4.26% | 20.00% | -15.74 points | Fold |
| 2 outs | 8.42% | 20.00% | -11.58 points | Fold |
| 3 outs | 12.49% | 20.00% | -7.51 points | Fold |
| 4 outs | 16.47% | 20.00% | -3.53 points | Fold |
| 5 outs | 20.35% | 20.00% | +0.35 points | Call |
| 6 outs | 24.14% | 20.00% | +4.14 points | Call |
| 7 outs | 27.84% | 20.00% | +7.84 points | Call |
| 8 outs | 31.45% | 20.00% | +11.45 points | Call |
| 9 outs | 34.97% | 20.00% | +14.97 points | Call |
| 10 outs | 38.39% | 20.00% | +18.39 points | Call |
| 11 outs | 41.72% | 20.00% | +21.72 points | Call |
| 12 outs | 44.96% | 20.00% | +24.96 points | Call |
| 13 outs | 48.10% | 20.00% | +28.10 points | Call |
| 14 outs | 51.16% | 20.00% | +31.16 points | Call |
| 15 outs | 54.12% | 20.00% | +34.12 points | Call |
| 16 outs | 56.98% | 20.00% | +36.98 points | Call |
| 17 outs | 59.76% | 20.00% | +39.76 points | Call |
| 18 outs | 62.44% | 20.00% | +42.44 points | Call |
| 19 outs | 65.03% | 20.00% | +45.03 points | Call |
| 20 outs | 67.53% | 20.00% | +47.53 points | Call |
| Outs | By the river | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 out | 4.26% | 25.00% | -20.74 points | Fold |
| 2 outs | 8.42% | 25.00% | -16.58 points | Fold |
| 3 outs | 12.49% | 25.00% | -12.51 points | Fold |
| 4 outs | 16.47% | 25.00% | -8.53 points | Fold |
| 5 outs | 20.35% | 25.00% | -4.65 points | Fold |
| 6 outs | 24.14% | 25.00% | -0.86 points | Fold |
| 7 outs | 27.84% | 25.00% | +2.84 points | Call |
| 8 outs | 31.45% | 25.00% | +6.45 points | Call |
| 9 outs | 34.97% | 25.00% | +9.97 points | Call |
| 10 outs | 38.39% | 25.00% | +13.39 points | Call |
| 11 outs | 41.72% | 25.00% | +16.72 points | Call |
| 12 outs | 44.96% | 25.00% | +19.96 points | Call |
| 13 outs | 48.10% | 25.00% | +23.10 points | Call |
| 14 outs | 51.16% | 25.00% | +26.16 points | Call |
| 15 outs | 54.12% | 25.00% | +29.12 points | Call |
| 16 outs | 56.98% | 25.00% | +31.98 points | Call |
| 17 outs | 59.76% | 25.00% | +34.76 points | Call |
| 18 outs | 62.44% | 25.00% | +37.44 points | Call |
| 19 outs | 65.03% | 25.00% | +40.03 points | Call |
| 20 outs | 67.53% | 25.00% | +42.53 points | Call |
| Outs | By the river | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 out | 4.26% | 28.57% | -24.32 points | Fold |
| 2 outs | 8.42% | 28.57% | -20.15 points | Fold |
| 3 outs | 12.49% | 28.57% | -16.08 points | Fold |
| 4 outs | 16.47% | 28.57% | -12.11 points | Fold |
| 5 outs | 20.35% | 28.57% | -8.22 points | Fold |
| 6 outs | 24.14% | 28.57% | -4.43 points | Fold |
| 7 outs | 27.84% | 28.57% | -0.73 points | Fold |
| 8 outs | 31.45% | 28.57% | +2.88 points | Call |
| 9 outs | 34.97% | 28.57% | +6.40 points | Call |
| 10 outs | 38.39% | 28.57% | +9.82 points | Call |
| 11 outs | 41.72% | 28.57% | +13.15 points | Call |
| 12 outs | 44.96% | 28.57% | +16.39 points | Call |
| 13 outs | 48.10% | 28.57% | +19.53 points | Call |
| 14 outs | 51.16% | 28.57% | +22.58 points | Call |
| 15 outs | 54.12% | 28.57% | +25.55 points | Call |
| 16 outs | 56.98% | 28.57% | +28.41 points | Call |
| 17 outs | 59.76% | 28.57% | +31.19 points | Call |
| 18 outs | 62.44% | 28.57% | +33.87 points | Call |
| 19 outs | 65.03% | 28.57% | +36.46 points | Call |
| 20 outs | 67.53% | 28.57% | +38.96 points | Call |
| Outs | By the river | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 out | 4.26% | 30.00% | -25.74 points | Fold |
| 2 outs | 8.42% | 30.00% | -21.58 points | Fold |
| 3 outs | 12.49% | 30.00% | -17.51 points | Fold |
| 4 outs | 16.47% | 30.00% | -13.53 points | Fold |
| 5 outs | 20.35% | 30.00% | -9.65 points | Fold |
| 6 outs | 24.14% | 30.00% | -5.86 points | Fold |
| 7 outs | 27.84% | 30.00% | -2.16 points | Fold |
| 8 outs | 31.45% | 30.00% | +1.45 points | Call |
| 9 outs | 34.97% | 30.00% | +4.97 points | Call |
| 10 outs | 38.39% | 30.00% | +8.39 points | Call |
| 11 outs | 41.72% | 30.00% | +11.72 points | Call |
| 12 outs | 44.96% | 30.00% | +14.96 points | Call |
| 13 outs | 48.10% | 30.00% | +18.10 points | Call |
| 14 outs | 51.16% | 30.00% | +21.16 points | Call |
| 15 outs | 54.12% | 30.00% | +24.12 points | Call |
| 16 outs | 56.98% | 30.00% | +26.98 points | Call |
| 17 outs | 59.76% | 30.00% | +29.76 points | Call |
| 18 outs | 62.44% | 30.00% | +32.44 points | Call |
| 19 outs | 65.03% | 30.00% | +35.03 points | Call |
| 20 outs | 67.53% | 30.00% | +37.53 points | Call |
| Outs | By the river | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 out | 4.26% | 33.33% | -29.08 points | Fold |
| 2 outs | 8.42% | 33.33% | -24.92 points | Fold |
| 3 outs | 12.49% | 33.33% | -20.84 points | Fold |
| 4 outs | 16.47% | 33.33% | -16.87 points | Fold |
| 5 outs | 20.35% | 33.33% | -12.98 points | Fold |
| 6 outs | 24.14% | 33.33% | -9.19 points | Fold |
| 7 outs | 27.84% | 33.33% | -5.49 points | Fold |
| 8 outs | 31.45% | 33.33% | -1.88 points | Fold |
| 9 outs | 34.97% | 33.33% | +1.63 points | Call |
| 10 outs | 38.39% | 33.33% | +5.06 points | Call |
| 11 outs | 41.72% | 33.33% | +8.39 points | Call |
| 12 outs | 44.96% | 33.33% | +11.63 points | Call |
| 13 outs | 48.10% | 33.33% | +14.77 points | Call |
| 14 outs | 51.16% | 33.33% | +17.82 points | Call |
| 15 outs | 54.12% | 33.33% | +20.78 points | Call |
| 16 outs | 56.98% | 33.33% | +23.65 points | Call |
| 17 outs | 59.76% | 33.33% | +26.43 points | Call |
| 18 outs | 62.44% | 33.33% | +29.11 points | Call |
| 19 outs | 65.03% | 33.33% | +31.70 points | Call |
| 20 outs | 67.53% | 33.33% | +34.20 points | Call |
Turn: call or fold by outs and bet size
On the turn one card is left, so the chance by the river and the chance on the next card are the same. Each table fixes one bet size and runs the outs from 1 to 20.
| Outs | By the river | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 out | 2.17% | 20.00% | -17.83 points | Fold |
| 2 outs | 4.35% | 20.00% | -15.65 points | Fold |
| 3 outs | 6.52% | 20.00% | -13.48 points | Fold |
| 4 outs | 8.70% | 20.00% | -11.30 points | Fold |
| 5 outs | 10.87% | 20.00% | -9.13 points | Fold |
| 6 outs | 13.04% | 20.00% | -6.96 points | Fold |
| 7 outs | 15.22% | 20.00% | -4.78 points | Fold |
| 8 outs | 17.39% | 20.00% | -2.61 points | Fold |
| 9 outs | 19.57% | 20.00% | -0.43 points | Fold |
| 10 outs | 21.74% | 20.00% | +1.74 points | Call |
| 11 outs | 23.91% | 20.00% | +3.91 points | Call |
| 12 outs | 26.09% | 20.00% | +6.09 points | Call |
| 13 outs | 28.26% | 20.00% | +8.26 points | Call |
| 14 outs | 30.43% | 20.00% | +10.43 points | Call |
| 15 outs | 32.61% | 20.00% | +12.61 points | Call |
| 16 outs | 34.78% | 20.00% | +14.78 points | Call |
| 17 outs | 36.96% | 20.00% | +16.96 points | Call |
| 18 outs | 39.13% | 20.00% | +19.13 points | Call |
| 19 outs | 41.30% | 20.00% | +21.30 points | Call |
| 20 outs | 43.48% | 20.00% | +23.48 points | Call |
| Outs | By the river | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 out | 2.17% | 25.00% | -22.83 points | Fold |
| 2 outs | 4.35% | 25.00% | -20.65 points | Fold |
| 3 outs | 6.52% | 25.00% | -18.48 points | Fold |
| 4 outs | 8.70% | 25.00% | -16.30 points | Fold |
| 5 outs | 10.87% | 25.00% | -14.13 points | Fold |
| 6 outs | 13.04% | 25.00% | -11.96 points | Fold |
| 7 outs | 15.22% | 25.00% | -9.78 points | Fold |
| 8 outs | 17.39% | 25.00% | -7.61 points | Fold |
| 9 outs | 19.57% | 25.00% | -5.43 points | Fold |
| 10 outs | 21.74% | 25.00% | -3.26 points | Fold |
| 11 outs | 23.91% | 25.00% | -1.09 points | Fold |
| 12 outs | 26.09% | 25.00% | +1.09 points | Call |
| 13 outs | 28.26% | 25.00% | +3.26 points | Call |
| 14 outs | 30.43% | 25.00% | +5.43 points | Call |
| 15 outs | 32.61% | 25.00% | +7.61 points | Call |
| 16 outs | 34.78% | 25.00% | +9.78 points | Call |
| 17 outs | 36.96% | 25.00% | +11.96 points | Call |
| 18 outs | 39.13% | 25.00% | +14.13 points | Call |
| 19 outs | 41.30% | 25.00% | +16.30 points | Call |
| 20 outs | 43.48% | 25.00% | +18.48 points | Call |
| Outs | By the river | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 out | 2.17% | 28.57% | -26.40 points | Fold |
| 2 outs | 4.35% | 28.57% | -24.22 points | Fold |
| 3 outs | 6.52% | 28.57% | -22.05 points | Fold |
| 4 outs | 8.70% | 28.57% | -19.88 points | Fold |
| 5 outs | 10.87% | 28.57% | -17.70 points | Fold |
| 6 outs | 13.04% | 28.57% | -15.53 points | Fold |
| 7 outs | 15.22% | 28.57% | -13.35 points | Fold |
| 8 outs | 17.39% | 28.57% | -11.18 points | Fold |
| 9 outs | 19.57% | 28.57% | -9.01 points | Fold |
| 10 outs | 21.74% | 28.57% | -6.83 points | Fold |
| 11 outs | 23.91% | 28.57% | -4.66 points | Fold |
| 12 outs | 26.09% | 28.57% | -2.48 points | Fold |
| 13 outs | 28.26% | 28.57% | -0.31 points | Fold |
| 14 outs | 30.43% | 28.57% | +1.86 points | Call |
| 15 outs | 32.61% | 28.57% | +4.04 points | Call |
| 16 outs | 34.78% | 28.57% | +6.21 points | Call |
| 17 outs | 36.96% | 28.57% | +8.39 points | Call |
| 18 outs | 39.13% | 28.57% | +10.56 points | Call |
| 19 outs | 41.30% | 28.57% | +12.73 points | Call |
| 20 outs | 43.48% | 28.57% | +14.91 points | Call |
| Outs | By the river | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 out | 2.17% | 30.00% | -27.83 points | Fold |
| 2 outs | 4.35% | 30.00% | -25.65 points | Fold |
| 3 outs | 6.52% | 30.00% | -23.48 points | Fold |
| 4 outs | 8.70% | 30.00% | -21.30 points | Fold |
| 5 outs | 10.87% | 30.00% | -19.13 points | Fold |
| 6 outs | 13.04% | 30.00% | -16.96 points | Fold |
| 7 outs | 15.22% | 30.00% | -14.78 points | Fold |
| 8 outs | 17.39% | 30.00% | -12.61 points | Fold |
| 9 outs | 19.57% | 30.00% | -10.43 points | Fold |
| 10 outs | 21.74% | 30.00% | -8.26 points | Fold |
| 11 outs | 23.91% | 30.00% | -6.09 points | Fold |
| 12 outs | 26.09% | 30.00% | -3.91 points | Fold |
| 13 outs | 28.26% | 30.00% | -1.74 points | Fold |
| 14 outs | 30.43% | 30.00% | +0.43 points | Call |
| 15 outs | 32.61% | 30.00% | +2.61 points | Call |
| 16 outs | 34.78% | 30.00% | +4.78 points | Call |
| 17 outs | 36.96% | 30.00% | +6.96 points | Call |
| 18 outs | 39.13% | 30.00% | +9.13 points | Call |
| 19 outs | 41.30% | 30.00% | +11.30 points | Call |
| 20 outs | 43.48% | 30.00% | +13.48 points | Call |
| Outs | By the river | Equity needed | Margin | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 out | 2.17% | 33.33% | -31.16 points | Fold |
| 2 outs | 4.35% | 33.33% | -28.99 points | Fold |
| 3 outs | 6.52% | 33.33% | -26.81 points | Fold |
| 4 outs | 8.70% | 33.33% | -24.64 points | Fold |
| 5 outs | 10.87% | 33.33% | -22.46 points | Fold |
| 6 outs | 13.04% | 33.33% | -20.29 points | Fold |
| 7 outs | 15.22% | 33.33% | -18.12 points | Fold |
| 8 outs | 17.39% | 33.33% | -15.94 points | Fold |
| 9 outs | 19.57% | 33.33% | -13.77 points | Fold |
| 10 outs | 21.74% | 33.33% | -11.59 points | Fold |
| 11 outs | 23.91% | 33.33% | -9.42 points | Fold |
| 12 outs | 26.09% | 33.33% | -7.25 points | Fold |
| 13 outs | 28.26% | 33.33% | -5.07 points | Fold |
| 14 outs | 30.43% | 33.33% | -2.90 points | Fold |
| 15 outs | 32.61% | 33.33% | -0.72 points | Fold |
| 16 outs | 34.78% | 33.33% | +1.45 points | Call |
| 17 outs | 36.96% | 33.33% | +3.62 points | Call |
| 18 outs | 39.13% | 33.33% | +5.80 points | Call |
| 19 outs | 41.30% | 33.33% | +7.97 points | Call |
| 20 outs | 43.48% | 33.33% | +10.14 points | Call |
How to read these tables
Find your street, pick the table for the bet you face, and read across the row for your outs. The margin is your chance to hit minus the equity the call needs, in percentage points, and the verdict follows its sign. A positive margin is a call and a negative one is a fold.
For example, a flush draw (9 outs) on the flop hits 34.97% by the river against 25.00% for a half-pot bet, while the same 9 outs on the turn hit 19.57%. The first is a call and the second is a fold.
- Pot odds calculator: Enter any pot and bet to see the equity a call needs, with implied odds.
- Outs calculator: Count your outs and see the exact chance to hit on the flop or the turn.
- Outs and odds: The chance to hit for every count of outs, street by street.
- Pot odds by bet size: The equity each of the twelve bet sizes asks for.
How this is computed
Every chance is the exact closed form: from the flop, one minus the share of pairs of unseen cards that hold no out, and from the turn, outs divided by the 46 unseen cards. No simulation is involved.
The equity a call needs is call / (pot + bet + call), which is f / (1 + 2f) for a bet of f times the pot. The margin is your chance minus that price, and a tie to four decimals is called break-even.
The tables assume you call the whole bet, win the whole pot whenever you hit, see no more betting, and draw from equally likely unseen cards with none removed for an opponent's hand.
Computed from the closed form by the GeorgeLiPoker math library.
Updated
Questions
How do I know whether to call with a draw?
Compare your chance to hit with the equity the call needs. A half-pot bet needs 25.00% and a pot-size bet needs 33.33%. 9 outs on the flop hit 34.97% by the river, which beats both, so that draw calls each of them.
Why do the tables start from the flop and the turn?
Those are the two streets where cards are still to come and a bet still has to be priced. From the flop you see up to two cards, and from the turn you see one, so the same 9 outs hit 34.97% on the flop and 19.57% on the turn.
Which bet sizes are listed here?
The tables cover 5 common sizes: third-pot, half-pot, two-thirds-pot, three-quarter-pot, pot-size. The page for each draw also compares every one of the 12 sizes the site prices, so the margin against a bigger or smaller bet is one table away, and the calculators accept any bet you type.
Do these tables include implied odds?
No. They assume you call the full bet, win the whole pot on a hit and see no more betting. Each draw page adds a table showing how much future winnings would change the price, and the pot odds calculator accepts an amount for implied odds.
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