55 vs A3s: preflop equity

If 55 and A3s get all the chips in before the flop, 55 owns 66.49% of the pot in the long run and A3s owns 33.51%.

55

66.49%

Wins 66.23%, ties 0.54%

A3s

33.51%

Wins 33.23%, ties 0.54%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

55 against A3s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 55 against A3s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
5566.2250.53533.24066.492
A3s33.2400.53566.22533.508

55 and A3s are a pocket pair and a suited hand, in that order. The pair sits between the other hand's two cards: one is higher and one is lower, so the pair is exposed to the higher card.

55 is well ahead, and A3s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. Of every 100 boards, about 0.54 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

The hand ranking puts 55 at 27 and A3s at 38 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
5527,215,000220,00013,660,000
A3s13,660,000220,00027,215,000

The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

55 against A3s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
551.9841.5103.0080.504
A3s0.5043.0081.5101.984

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, 55 peaks at 81.39% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 62.79% on monotone flops. 55 stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

55 against A3s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops55 winsTiesA3s wins55 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22066.0950.29133.61466.241
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68980.9440.89618.16081.392
Two-tone46.54565.5450.36734.08865.729
Monotone5.21261.4742.63835.88862.793
Paired17.33464.8330.59234.57565.129

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 60.33% for 55 and 58.22% for A3s. This opponent changes them by +6.16 and -24.71 points.

55 and A3s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
55, all flops66.49260.325+6.1671.10223
55, rainbow, ten or higher66.24160.325+5.9161.09807
55, rainbow, nine or lower81.39260.325+21.0671.34923
55, two-tone65.72960.325+5.4041.08958
55, monotone62.79360.325+2.4681.04091
55, paired65.12960.325+4.8041.07964
A3s, all flops33.50858.220-24.7120.57554
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher33.75958.220-24.4610.57985
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower18.60858.220-39.6120.31962
A3s, two-tone34.27158.220-23.9490.58865
A3s, monotone37.20758.220-21.0130.63908
A3s, paired34.87158.220-23.3490.59895

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, 55 has 66.77%; looking only at deals where they do not, 66.22%. 55 does better with a shared suit, by 0.55 points.

55 against A3s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals55 winsTiesA3s wins55 equity
Share a suit1250.0066.4770.57632.94766.765
No shared suit1250.0065.9710.49533.53466.219

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 24 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0015% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 48, or 0.0030%.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $132.98 for 55 and $67.02 for A3s; the first side gains $32.98 per all-in and the second gives up $32.98.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 662 for 55, 333 for A3s and 5 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get A3s with 33.51% against 55 with 66.49%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

Try 5s5h against Ad3d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 24 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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