65s vs 43s: preflop equity

In equity, 65s against 43s stands at 61.56% to 38.44%, a gap of 23.12 points.

65s

61.56%

Wins 55.95%, ties 11.23%

43s

38.44%

Wins 32.82%, ties 11.23%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

65s against 43s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 65s against 43s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
65s55.94711.22932.82461.562
43s32.82411.22955.94738.438

65s and 43s are both suited hands. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. A split pot comes up on 11.23% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

For context, 65s sits at number 128 of 169 starting hands and 43s at number 150 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
65s15,328,0003,076,0008,993,000
43s8,993,0003,076,00015,328,000

16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

65s against 43s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
65s1.6021.7873.0470.624
43s0.6243.0471.7871.602

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures 65s' equity moves by 8.92 points, from 58.81% on paired flops to 67.73% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 65s stays ahead on all five textures.

65s against 43s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops65s winsTies43s wins65s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84455.91611.80532.27961.818
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06566.9811.50431.51567.733
Two-tone46.72757.5178.80233.68161.918
Monotone5.27355.4659.34435.19160.137
Paired17.09148.58320.45830.95958.812

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts 65s from 43.13% by +18.43 points and 43s from 38.64% by -0.20 points.

65s and 43s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
65s, all flops61.56243.133+18.4291.42726
65s, rainbow, ten or higher61.81843.133+18.6851.43320
65s, rainbow, nine or lower67.73343.133+24.6001.57033
65s, two-tone61.91843.133+18.7851.43551
65s, monotone60.13743.133+17.0041.39422
65s, paired58.81243.133+15.6791.36350
43s, all flops38.43838.642-0.2040.99472
43s, rainbow, ten or higher38.18238.642-0.4600.98810
43s, rainbow, nine or lower32.26738.642-6.3750.83502
43s, two-tone38.08238.642-0.5600.98551
43s, monotone39.86338.642+1.2211.03160
43s, paired41.18838.642+2.5461.06589

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common 65s has 63.94% equity, and with none in common it has 60.77%. 65s does better with a shared suit, by 3.17 points.

65s against 43s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals65s winsTies43s wins65s equity
Share a suit425.0057.90112.08130.01863.941
No shared suit1275.0055.29610.94533.75960.769

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 16 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0010% of 1,624,350, and 32 (0.0020%) in either order.

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. 65s averages $123.12 from the $200, up $23.12; 43s averages $76.88, down $23.12.

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 560 outright wins for 65s, 328 for 43s, and 112 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

43s against 65s adds nothing new: it is 38.44% for 43s and 61.56% for 65s, the same figures reversed.

The calculator link fills in 6s5s against 4h3h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 16 deals of 65s against 43s fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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