66 vs A9o: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, 66 takes 55.98% of the pot on average and A9o takes the other 44.02%.

66

55.98%

Wins 55.78%, ties 0.39%

A9o

44.02%

Wins 43.83%, ties 0.39%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

66 against A9o: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 66 against A9o, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
6655.7810.38943.83055.975
A9o43.8300.38955.78144.025

We compare a pocket pair with an offsuit hand. One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect.

A 11.96 point lead is real, and A9o still takes about 438 of every 1,000 deals outright. About 0.39% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

The hand ranking puts 66 at 17 and A9o at 25 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
6668,770,000480,00054,036,000
A9o54,036,000480,00068,770,000

Exact total: 72 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

66 against A9o read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
661.2711.7932.2820.787
A9o0.7872.2821.7931.271

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. 66 does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 64.58%, and worst on monotone flops, at 52.41%. 66 stays ahead on all five textures.

66 against A9o by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops66 winsTiesA9o wins66 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.34153.7200.21246.06853.826
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68964.2620.63135.10764.577
Two-tone46.48555.2670.27844.45555.406
Monotone5.15151.5421.73246.72652.408
Paired17.33458.6500.46340.88758.882

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 63.29% for 66, 60.77% for A9o. Here the change is -7.31 and -16.75 points.

66 and A9o here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
66, all flops55.97563.285-7.3100.88449
66, rainbow, ten or higher53.82663.285-9.4590.85053
66, rainbow, nine or lower64.57763.285+1.2921.02042
66, two-tone55.40663.285-7.8790.87550
66, monotone52.40863.285-10.8770.82813
66, paired58.88263.285-4.4030.93043
A9o, all flops44.02560.773-16.7480.72442
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher46.17460.773-14.5990.75978
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower35.42360.773-25.3500.58287
A9o, two-tone44.59460.773-16.1790.73378
A9o, monotone47.59260.773-13.1810.78311
A9o, paired41.11860.773-19.6550.67658

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common 66 has 55.90% equity, and with none in common it has 56.36%. 66 does better with no shared suit, by 0.46 points.

66 against A9o by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals66 winsTiesA9o wins66 equity
Share a suit6083.3355.6960.40443.90055.898
No shared suit1216.6756.2080.31243.48056.364

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 72 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0044% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 144, or 0.0089%.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. 66's equity of 55.98% is worth $111.96, a $11.96 edge, and A9o's 44.02% is worth $88.04, which is $11.96 under its stake.

Per 1,000 deals: 66 wins about 558, A9o wins about 438, and about 4 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get A9o with 44.02% against 66 with 55.98%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

Open the calculator with 6s6h against Ad9c already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 72 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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