76s vs 53s: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, 76s finishes with 63.08% of the pot and 53s with 36.92%.

76s

63.08%

Wins 59.61%, ties 6.94%

53s

36.92%

Wins 33.45%, ties 6.94%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

76s against 53s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 76s against 53s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
76s59.6086.93933.45363.077
53s33.4536.93959.60836.923

The matchup is suited hands on both sides, 76s against 53s. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Ties are part of the picture: 6.94% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

The hand ranking puts 76s at 115 and 53s at 146 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
76s16,331,0001,901,0009,165,000
53s9,165,0001,901,00016,331,000

16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

76s against 53s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
76s1.7081.6782.9890.585
53s0.5852.9891.6781.708

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: 76s holds 64.59% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 61.01% on monotone flops. 76s stays ahead on all five textures.

76s against 53s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops76s winsTies53s wins76s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84460.9266.57432.50064.213
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06564.0771.01834.90564.586
Two-tone46.72760.7364.96834.29663.220
Monotone5.27357.6826.65835.66061.011
Paired17.09153.79914.72531.47661.161

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, 76s holds 45.37% and 53s holds 39.69%. Facing each other changes that by +17.71 points for 76s and -2.77 points for 53s.

76s and 53s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
76s, all flops63.07745.372+17.7051.39022
76s, rainbow, ten or higher64.21345.372+18.8411.41526
76s, rainbow, nine or lower64.58645.372+19.2141.42348
76s, two-tone63.22045.372+17.8481.39337
76s, monotone61.01145.372+15.6391.34468
76s, paired61.16145.372+15.7891.34799
53s, all flops36.92339.693-2.7700.93021
53s, rainbow, ten or higher35.78739.693-3.9060.90159
53s, rainbow, nine or lower35.41439.693-4.2790.89220
53s, two-tone36.78039.693-2.9130.92661
53s, monotone38.98939.693-0.7040.98226
53s, paired38.83939.693-0.8540.97848

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? 76s has 65.54% when the hands share a suit and 62.26% when they do not. 76s does better with a shared suit, by 3.28 points.

76s against 53s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals76s winsTies53s wins76s equity
Share a suit425.0061.8107.45630.73465.538
No shared suit1275.0058.8746.76734.35962.257

How often this matchup comes up

76s against 53s is made up of 16 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0010% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 32 counting both seat orders, 0.0020%.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, 76s' average share is $126.16 (a gain of $26.16) and 53s' is $73.84 (a loss of $26.16).

Per 1,000 deals: 76s wins about 596, 53s wins about 335, and about 69 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get 53s with 36.92% against 76s with 63.08%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

The calculator link fills in 7s6s against 5h3h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 16 ways to deal one 76s and one 53s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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