77
81.39%
Wins 80.67%, ties 1.43%
33
18.61%
Wins 17.90%, ties 1.43%
77 against 33: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 80.670 | 1.432 | 17.898 | 81.386 |
| 33 | 17.898 | 1.432 | 80.670 | 18.614 |
The matchup is pocket pairs on both sides, 77 against 33. A pair against a smaller pair is the classic crush: the smaller pair needs one of its two remaining cards to make a set.
This is one of the lopsided matchups: 33 wins only 17.90% of the boards outright. Ties are part of the picture: 1.43% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
For context, 77 sits at number 9 of 169 starting hands and 33 at number 66 when each is run against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 49,727,000 | 883,000 | 11,033,000 |
| 33 | 11,033,000 | 883,000 | 49,727,000 |
Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 4.372 | 1.240 | 5.587 | 0.229 |
| 33 | 0.229 | 5.587 | 1.240 | 4.372 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures 77's equity moves by 11.07 points, from 74.26% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 85.33% on paired flops. 77 stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | 77 wins | Ties | 33 wins | 77 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.844 | 82.134 | 0.864 | 17.002 | 82.566 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.065 | 73.887 | 0.753 | 25.360 | 74.263 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 80.184 | 0.829 | 18.987 | 80.599 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 74.713 | 2.738 | 22.549 | 76.082 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 83.498 | 3.673 | 12.829 | 85.334 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 66.24%, 77 changes by +15.15 points, and 33, from 53.69%, by -35.08.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77, all flops | 81.386 | 66.236 | +15.150 | 1.22873 |
| 77, rainbow, ten or higher | 82.566 | 66.236 | +16.330 | 1.24654 |
| 77, rainbow, nine or lower | 74.263 | 66.236 | +8.027 | 1.12119 |
| 77, two-tone | 80.599 | 66.236 | +14.363 | 1.21685 |
| 77, monotone | 76.082 | 66.236 | +9.846 | 1.14865 |
| 77, paired | 85.334 | 66.236 | +19.098 | 1.28833 |
| 33, all flops | 18.614 | 53.693 | -35.079 | 0.34667 |
| 33, rainbow, ten or higher | 17.434 | 53.693 | -36.259 | 0.32470 |
| 33, rainbow, nine or lower | 25.737 | 53.693 | -27.956 | 0.47934 |
| 33, two-tone | 19.401 | 53.693 | -34.292 | 0.36133 |
| 33, monotone | 23.918 | 53.693 | -29.775 | 0.44546 |
| 33, paired | 14.666 | 53.693 | -39.027 | 0.27315 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common 77 has 81.52% equity, and with none in common it has 80.71%. 77 does better with a shared suit, by 0.81 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 77 wins | Ties | 33 wins | 77 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 80.799 | 1.443 | 17.758 | 81.520 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 80.025 | 1.377 | 18.598 | 80.714 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, 77 against 33 appears in 36 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0022%), and in 72 when the seats are swapped too (0.0044%).
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average 77 takes back $162.78 of it, which is $62.78 more than it put in, and 33 takes back $37.22, $62.78 less than it put in.
A thousand deals look like this: 77 takes 807, 33 takes 179, 14 are ties.
The same matchup from the other side
Read it from the other side: 33 against 77 is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 33 holds 18.61% and 77 holds 81.39%. That address sends you back to this page.
Keep exploring
Try 7s7h against 3d3c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 36 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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