77 vs 33: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, 77 finishes with 81.39% of the pot and 33 with 18.61%.

77

81.39%

Wins 80.67%, ties 1.43%

33

18.61%

Wins 17.90%, ties 1.43%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against 33: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against 33, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7780.6701.43217.89881.386
3317.8981.43280.67018.614

The matchup is pocket pairs on both sides, 77 against 33. A pair against a smaller pair is the classic crush: the smaller pair needs one of its two remaining cards to make a set.

This is one of the lopsided matchups: 33 wins only 17.90% of the boards outright. Ties are part of the picture: 1.43% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

For context, 77 sits at number 9 of 169 starting hands and 33 at number 66 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7749,727,000883,00011,033,000
3311,033,000883,00049,727,000

Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

77 against 33 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
774.3721.2405.5870.229
330.2295.5871.2404.372

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures 77's equity moves by 11.07 points, from 74.26% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 85.33% on paired flops. 77 stays ahead on all five textures.

77 against 33 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTies33 wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84482.1340.86417.00282.566
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06573.8870.75325.36074.263
Two-tone46.36380.1840.82918.98780.599
Monotone5.15274.7132.73822.54976.082
Paired17.57683.4983.67312.82985.334

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 66.24%, 77 changes by +15.15 points, and 33, from 53.69%, by -35.08.

77 and 33 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops81.38666.236+15.1501.22873
77, rainbow, ten or higher82.56666.236+16.3301.24654
77, rainbow, nine or lower74.26366.236+8.0271.12119
77, two-tone80.59966.236+14.3631.21685
77, monotone76.08266.236+9.8461.14865
77, paired85.33466.236+19.0981.28833
33, all flops18.61453.693-35.0790.34667
33, rainbow, ten or higher17.43453.693-36.2590.32470
33, rainbow, nine or lower25.73753.693-27.9560.47934
33, two-tone19.40153.693-34.2920.36133
33, monotone23.91853.693-29.7750.44546
33, paired14.66653.693-39.0270.27315

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common 77 has 81.52% equity, and with none in common it has 80.71%. 77 does better with a shared suit, by 0.81 points.

77 against 33 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTies33 wins77 equity
Share a suit3083.3380.7991.44317.75881.520
No shared suit616.6780.0251.37718.59880.714

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, 77 against 33 appears in 36 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0022%), and in 72 when the seats are swapped too (0.0044%).

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average 77 takes back $162.78 of it, which is $62.78 more than it put in, and 33 takes back $37.22, $62.78 less than it put in.

A thousand deals look like this: 77 takes 807, 33 takes 179, 14 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: 33 against 77 is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 33 holds 18.61% and 77 holds 81.39%. That address sends you back to this page.

Try 7s7h against 3d3c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 36 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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