77 vs AJs: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, 77 takes 52.01% of the pot on average and AJs takes the other 47.99%.

77

52.01%

Wins 51.81%, ties 0.40%

AJs

47.99%

Wins 47.79%, ties 0.40%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against AJs: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against AJs, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7751.8140.39647.79052.012
AJs47.7900.39651.81447.988

77 and AJs are a pocket pair and a suited hand, in that order. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.

That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. A split pot comes up on 0.40% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

Place 9 of 169 belongs to 77 and place 11 belongs to AJs in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7721,293,000163,00019,639,000
AJs19,639,000163,00021,293,000

The board total is exact, 24 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

77 against AJs read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
771.0841.9302.0920.923
AJs0.9232.0921.9301.084

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. 77 does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 77.12%, and worst on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 46.04%. On rainbow flops topped by a ten or better the numbers flip and AJs is the one ahead.

77 against AJs by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTiesAJs wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59545.9480.18553.86746.041
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31476.8070.62822.56577.121
Two-tone46.54550.0340.25749.70950.163
Monotone5.21250.1102.39447.49651.307
Paired17.33456.3250.38243.29356.516

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, 77 changes by -14.23 points (baseline 66.24%) and AJs by -17.40 points (baseline 65.39%).

77 and AJs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops52.01266.236-14.2240.78525
77, rainbow, ten or higher46.04166.236-20.1950.69511
77, rainbow, nine or lower77.12166.236+10.8851.16434
77, two-tone50.16366.236-16.0730.75734
77, monotone51.30766.236-14.9290.77461
77, paired56.51666.236-9.7200.85325
AJs, all flops47.98865.393-17.4050.73384
AJs, rainbow, ten or higher53.95965.393-11.4340.82515
AJs, rainbow, nine or lower22.87965.393-42.5140.34987
AJs, two-tone49.83765.393-15.5560.76212
AJs, monotone48.69365.393-16.7000.74462
AJs, paired43.48465.393-21.9090.66496

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common 77 has 52.19% equity, and with none in common it has 51.84%. 77 does better with a shared suit, by 0.35 points.

77 against AJs by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTiesAJs wins77 equity
Share a suit1250.0051.9700.43947.59152.189
No shared suit1250.0051.6590.35247.98951.835

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 24 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0015% of 1,624,350, and 48 (0.0030%) in either order.

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: 77 averages $104.02 back, ahead of its $100 by $4.02, while AJs averages $95.98, short of its $100 by $4.02.

Think in thousands: about 518 of 1,000 go to 77, about 478 go to AJs, and about 4 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

AJs against 77 adds nothing new: it is 47.99% for AJs and 52.01% for 77, the same figures reversed.

Open the calculator with 7s7h against AdJd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 24 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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