86s vs 64s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, 86s is ahead of 64s by 31.80 points of equity, 65.90% to 34.10%.

86s

65.90%

Wins 59.43%, ties 12.95%

64s

34.10%

Wins 27.62%, ties 12.95%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

86s against 64s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 86s against 64s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
86s59.42512.95127.62465.901
64s27.62412.95159.42534.099

Two suited hands meet here: 86s against 64s. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

86s is the clear favorite, though 64s gets there on roughly one board in 3. Split pots make up 12.95% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

86s ranks number 110 of 169 starting hands, and 64s ranks number 138, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
86s12,210,0002,661,0005,676,000
64s5,676,0002,661,00012,210,000

Exact total: 12 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

86s against 64s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
86s1.9331.6833.6200.517
64s0.5173.6201.6831.933

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, 86s peaks at 68.50% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 60.67% on monotone flops. 86s stays ahead on all five textures.

86s against 64s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops86s winsTies64s wins86s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84462.23512.52425.24168.497
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06558.4949.06532.44163.026
Two-tone46.54359.82010.87329.30765.256
Monotone5.21554.91511.51433.57160.672
Paired17.33355.80620.73623.45866.174

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 46.24% for 86s, 41.33% for 64s. Here the change is +19.66 and -7.23 points.

86s and 64s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
86s, all flops65.90146.243+19.6581.42510
86s, rainbow, ten or higher68.49746.243+22.2541.48124
86s, rainbow, nine or lower63.02646.243+16.7831.36293
86s, two-tone65.25646.243+19.0131.41115
86s, monotone60.67246.243+14.4291.31203
86s, paired66.17446.243+19.9311.43101
64s, all flops34.09941.333-7.2340.82498
64s, rainbow, ten or higher31.50341.333-9.8300.76218
64s, rainbow, nine or lower36.97441.333-4.3590.89454
64s, two-tone34.74441.333-6.5890.84059
64s, monotone39.32841.333-2.0050.95149
64s, paired33.82641.333-7.5070.81838

Does a shared suit matter?

The hands cannot hold a suit in common here, which leaves a single case and a single number: 65.90% for 86s.

86s against 64s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals86s winsTies64s wins86s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0059.42512.95127.62465.901

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 12 specific-card matchups (0.0007% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 24 once you count the seats both ways (0.0015%).

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average 86s takes back $131.80 of it, which is $31.80 more than it put in, and 64s takes back $68.20, $31.80 less than it put in.

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 594 wins for 86s, 276 for 64s and 130 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, 64s against 86s, shows 34.10% for 64s and 65.90% for 86s. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Try 8s6s against 6h4h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 12 specific 86s against 64s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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