97s vs 53s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, 97s is ahead of 53s by 26.66 points of equity, 63.33% to 36.67%.

97s

63.33%

Wins 61.88%, ties 2.89%

53s

36.67%

Wins 35.23%, ties 2.89%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

97s against 53s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 97s against 53s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
97s61.8812.88935.23063.325
53s35.2302.88961.88136.675

97s and 53s are both suited hands. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

97s is ahead, but 53s is far from dead: it takes 352 of every 1,000 deals outright. Ties are 2.89% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, 97s is number 94 of the 169 starting hands and 53s is number 146.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
97s16,953,000791,0009,652,000
53s9,652,000791,00016,953,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

97s against 53s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
97s1.7271.6162.8380.579
53s0.5792.8381.6161.727

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. 97s does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 65.00%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 59.50%. 97s stays ahead on all five textures.

97s against 53s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops97s winsTies53s wins97s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84463.9012.20733.89265.004
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06559.2220.54540.23359.495
Two-tone46.72762.1781.73236.09063.044
Monotone5.27358.5194.49036.99160.764
Paired17.09159.8357.28732.87863.479

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, 97s holds 49.12% and 53s holds 39.69%. Facing each other changes that by +14.21 points for 97s and -3.02 points for 53s.

97s and 53s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
97s, all flops63.32549.118+14.2071.28924
97s, rainbow, ten or higher65.00449.118+15.8861.32343
97s, rainbow, nine or lower59.49549.118+10.3771.21127
97s, two-tone63.04449.118+13.9261.28352
97s, monotone60.76449.118+11.6461.23710
97s, paired63.47949.118+14.3611.29238
53s, all flops36.67539.693-3.0180.92397
53s, rainbow, ten or higher34.99639.693-4.6970.88167
53s, rainbow, nine or lower40.50539.693+0.8121.02046
53s, two-tone36.95639.693-2.7370.93105
53s, monotone39.23639.693-0.4570.98849
53s, paired36.52139.693-3.1720.92009

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, 97s has 65.74%; looking only at deals where they do not, 62.52%. 97s does better with a shared suit, by 3.22 points.

97s against 53s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals97s winsTies53s wins97s equity
Share a suit425.0064.1803.11032.71065.735
No shared suit1275.0061.1142.81636.07062.522

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 16 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0010% of 1,624,350, and 32 (0.0020%) in either order.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $126.66 for 97s and $73.34 for 53s; the first side gains $26.66 per all-in and the second gives up $26.66.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 619 won outright by 97s, about 352 won outright by 53s and about 29 split.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From 53s' side the equity is 36.67%, and from 97s' side it is 63.33%.

The calculator link fills in 9s7s against 5h3h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 16 ways to deal one 97s and one 53s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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