99
54.56%
Wins 54.36%, ties 0.39%
QJo
45.44%
Wins 45.25%, ties 0.39%
99 against QJo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 54.358 | 0.394 | 45.248 | 54.555 |
| QJo | 45.248 | 0.394 | 54.358 | 45.445 |
99 is a pocket pair and QJo is an offsuit hand. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.
With only 9.12 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. 0.39% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
By strength against a random hand, 99 holds place 6 of 169 and QJo holds place 39.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 67,016,000 | 486,000 | 55,784,000 |
| QJo | 55,784,000 | 486,000 | 67,016,000 |
The board total is exact, 72 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 1.200 | 1.840 | 2.210 | 0.833 |
| QJo | 0.833 | 2.210 | 1.840 | 1.200 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Split by what the flop looks like, 99 peaks at 79.74% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 46.80% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. Watch for rainbow flops topped by a ten or better: on those flops QJo holds the better equity.
| Flop | Share of flops | 99 wins | Ties | QJo wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 46.718 | 0.161 | 53.121 | 46.798 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 79.223 | 1.030 | 19.747 | 79.738 |
| Two-tone | 46.485 | 53.026 | 0.324 | 46.650 | 53.188 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 49.972 | 1.707 | 48.321 | 50.826 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 61.070 | 0.291 | 38.639 | 61.216 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 72.06% for 99 and 58.14% for QJo. This opponent changes them by -17.50 and -12.70 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99, all flops | 54.555 | 72.057 | -17.502 | 0.75711 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 46.798 | 72.057 | -25.259 | 0.64946 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 79.738 | 72.057 | +7.681 | 1.10660 |
| 99, two-tone | 53.188 | 72.057 | -18.869 | 0.73814 |
| 99, monotone | 50.826 | 72.057 | -21.231 | 0.70536 |
| 99, paired | 61.216 | 72.057 | -10.841 | 0.84955 |
| QJo, all flops | 45.445 | 58.135 | -12.690 | 0.78171 |
| QJo, rainbow, ten or higher | 53.202 | 58.135 | -4.933 | 0.91515 |
| QJo, rainbow, nine or lower | 20.262 | 58.135 | -37.873 | 0.34853 |
| QJo, two-tone | 46.812 | 58.135 | -11.323 | 0.80523 |
| QJo, monotone | 49.174 | 58.135 | -8.961 | 0.84586 |
| QJo, paired | 38.784 | 58.135 | -19.351 | 0.66714 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 54.47% for 99 with a shared suit and 54.99% without one. 99 does better with no shared suit, by 0.52 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 99 wins | Ties | QJo wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 54.262 | 0.410 | 45.328 | 54.467 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 54.835 | 0.314 | 44.851 | 54.992 |
How often this matchup comes up
The class pair covers 72 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0044% of 1,624,350, and 144 (0.0089%) in either order.
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says 99 gets $109.12 of it on average and QJo gets $90.88.
Per 1,000 deals: 99 wins about 544, QJo wins about 452, and about 4 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
QJo against 99 adds nothing new: it is 45.44% for QJo and 54.56% for 99, the same figures reversed.
Keep exploring
9s9h against QdJc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
Method: exact enumeration. The 72 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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