A2s vs 53s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, A2s is ahead of 53s by 14.36 points of equity, 57.18% to 42.82%.

A2s

57.18%

Wins 56.87%, ties 0.63%

53s

42.82%

Wins 42.50%, ties 0.63%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A2s against 53s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A2s against 53s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A2s56.8700.62842.50257.184
53s42.5020.62856.87042.816

The matchup is suited hands on both sides, A2s against 53s. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

A 14.36 point lead is real, and 53s still takes about 425 of every 1,000 deals outright. About 0.63% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

By strength against a random hand, A2s holds place 46 of 169 and 53s holds place 146.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A2s15,581,000172,00011,644,000
53s11,644,000172,00015,581,000

The total is exact: 16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

A2s against 53s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A2s1.3361.7582.3530.749
53s0.7492.3531.7581.336

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, A2s' equity runs from 35.72% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 63.58% on paired flops. Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) favor 53s, the hand that is behind overall.

A2s against 53s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA2s winsTies53s winsA2s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22060.7170.28239.00160.858
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68935.1501.13763.71335.719
Two-tone46.72755.5850.38844.02755.779
Monotone5.27352.7043.60643.69054.507
Paired17.09163.2230.70636.07163.576

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, A2s changes by -0.20 points (baseline 57.38%) and 53s by +3.13 points (baseline 39.69%).

A2s and 53s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A2s, all flops57.18457.379-0.1950.99660
A2s, rainbow, ten or higher60.85857.379+3.4791.06063
A2s, rainbow, nine or lower35.71957.379-21.6600.62251
A2s, two-tone55.77957.379-1.6000.97212
A2s, monotone54.50757.379-2.8720.94995
A2s, paired63.57657.379+6.1971.10800
53s, all flops42.81639.693+3.1231.07868
53s, rainbow, ten or higher39.14239.693-0.5510.98612
53s, rainbow, nine or lower64.28139.693+24.5881.61945
53s, two-tone44.22139.693+4.5281.11408
53s, monotone45.49339.693+5.8001.14612
53s, paired36.42439.693-3.2690.91764

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give A2s 59.08% when the hands overlap in a suit and 56.55% when they do not. A2s does better with a shared suit, by 2.53 points.

A2s against 53s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA2s winsTies53s winsA2s equity
Share a suit425.0058.7200.71140.56959.075
No shared suit1275.0056.2530.60043.14756.553

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 16 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0010% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 32, or 0.0020%.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, A2s' average share is $114.36 (a gain of $14.36) and 53s' is $85.64 (a loss of $14.36).

A thousand deals look like this: A2s takes 569, 53s takes 425, 6 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

53s versus A2s is this same page seen from the other hand: 42.82% for 53s, 57.18% for A2s.

Open the calculator with As2s against 5h3h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 16 deals of A2s against 53s fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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