A3s vs 54s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, A3s is ahead of 54s by 13.06 points of equity, 56.53% to 43.47%.

A3s

56.53%

Wins 56.22%, ties 0.61%

54s

43.47%

Wins 43.17%, ties 0.61%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A3s against 54s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A3s against 54s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A3s56.2200.61143.16956.526
54s43.1690.61156.22043.474

A3s and 54s are both suited hands. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. A split pot comes up on 0.61% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

The hand ranking puts A3s at 38 and 54s at 136 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A3s15,403,000167,00011,827,000
54s11,827,000167,00015,403,000

The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

A3s against 54s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A3s1.3001.7792.3160.769
54s0.7692.3161.7791.300

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures A3s' equity moves by 27.71 points, from 35.20% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 62.91% on paired flops. On low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) the numbers flip and 54s is the one ahead.

A3s against 54s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA3s winsTies54s winsA3s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22059.9710.28239.74760.112
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68934.6951.01564.29035.203
Two-tone46.72754.9520.37144.67755.137
Monotone5.27352.1923.58944.21953.986
Paired17.09162.5620.69836.74062.911

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts A3s from 58.22% by -1.69 points and 54s from 41.45% by +2.02 points.

A3s and 54s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A3s, all flops56.52658.220-1.6940.97090
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher60.11258.220+1.8921.03250
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower35.20358.220-23.0170.60465
A3s, two-tone55.13758.220-3.0830.94705
A3s, monotone53.98658.220-4.2340.92728
A3s, paired62.91158.220+4.6911.08057
54s, all flops43.47441.453+2.0211.04875
54s, rainbow, ten or higher39.88841.453-1.5650.96225
54s, rainbow, nine or lower64.79741.453+23.3441.56314
54s, two-tone44.86341.453+3.4101.08226
54s, monotone46.01441.453+4.5611.11003
54s, paired37.08941.453-4.3640.89472

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, A3s holds 58.36%; when they do not, it holds 55.92%. A3s does better with a shared suit, by 2.44 points.

A3s against 54s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA3s winsTies54s winsA3s equity
Share a suit425.0058.0100.69241.29858.356
No shared suit1275.0055.6230.58443.79355.915

How often this matchup comes up

You will meet this exact matchup 0.0020% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 32 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. A3s averages $113.06 from the $200, up $13.06; 54s averages $86.94, down $13.06.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 562 for A3s, 432 for 54s and 6 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for 54s against A3s, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 43.47% and 56.53%.

As3s against 5h4h is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 16 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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