A5s vs 22: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, A5s is ahead of 22 by 0.20 points of equity, 50.10% to 49.90%.

A5s

50.10%

Wins 49.76%, ties 0.67%

22

49.90%

Wins 49.57%, ties 0.67%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A5s against 22: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A5s against 22, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A5s49.7620.67349.56550.098
2249.5650.67349.76249.902

The first hand is a suited hand; the second is a pocket pair. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.

That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. A split pot comes up on 0.67% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

Among the 169 starting hands, A5s is number 30 and 22 is number 87 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A5s20,450,000277,00020,369,000
2220,369,000277,00020,450,000

The board total is exact, 24 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

A5s against 22 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A5s1.0042.0102.0180.996
220.9962.0182.0101.004

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: A5s holds 50.85% on two-tone flops and 46.26% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) favor 22, the hand that is behind overall.

A5s against 22 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA5s winsTies22 winsA5s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22049.0410.29150.66849.186
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68945.6381.24153.12146.258
Two-tone46.54550.6340.42748.93950.847
Monotone5.21248.3763.77747.84750.264
Paired17.33450.2390.77048.99150.624

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, A5s holds 59.92% and 22 holds 50.33%. Facing each other changes that by -9.82 points for A5s and -0.43 points for 22.

A5s and 22 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A5s, all flops50.09859.923-9.8250.83604
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher49.18659.923-10.7370.82082
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower46.25859.923-13.6650.77196
A5s, two-tone50.84759.923-9.0760.84854
A5s, monotone50.26459.923-9.6590.83881
A5s, paired50.62459.923-9.2990.84482
22, all flops49.90250.334-0.4320.99142
22, rainbow, ten or higher50.81450.334+0.4801.00954
22, rainbow, nine or lower53.74250.334+3.4081.06771
22, two-tone49.15350.334-1.1810.97654
22, monotone49.73650.334-0.5980.98812
22, paired49.37650.334-0.9580.98097

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common A5s has 49.93% equity, and with none in common it has 50.26%. A5s does better with no shared suit, by 0.33 points.

A5s against 22 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA5s winsTies22 winsA5s equity
Share a suit1250.0049.5870.69249.72149.933
No shared suit1250.0049.9360.65449.41050.263

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 24 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0015% of 1,624,350, and 48 (0.0030%) in either order.

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. A5s is worth $100.20 on average (+$0.20); 22 is worth $99.80 (-$0.20).

Think in thousands: about 497 of 1,000 go to A5s, about 496 go to 22, and about 7 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, 22 against A5s, shows 49.90% for 22 and 50.10% for A5s. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

As5s against 2h2d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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