A5s vs 53s: preflop equity

The exact count puts A5s at 70.69% and 53s at 29.31% when the two hands see all five board cards.

A5s

70.69%

Wins 69.43%, ties 2.53%

53s

29.31%

Wins 28.04%, ties 2.53%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A5s against 53s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A5s against 53s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A5s69.4272.53228.04170.693
53s28.0412.53269.42729.307

Each side holds one of the suited hands: A5s and 53s. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

A5s is well ahead, and 53s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. 2.53% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

For context, A5s sits at number 30 of 169 starting hands and 53s at number 146 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A5s14,266,000520,0005,762,000
53s5,762,000520,00014,266,000

Exact total: 12 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

A5s against 53s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A5s2.4121.4403.5660.415
53s0.4153.5661.4402.412

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. A5s does best on paired flops, at 75.42%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 57.70%. A5s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

A5s against 53s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA5s winsTies53s winsA5s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.25474.0811.43324.48674.797
Rainbow, nine or lower5.65453.7867.83338.38157.703
Two-tone46.54367.9272.25129.82269.052
Monotone5.21561.5234.63433.84363.840
Paired17.33474.1582.52723.31575.421

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, A5s changes by +10.77 points (baseline 59.92%) and 53s by -10.38 points (baseline 39.69%).

A5s and 53s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A5s, all flops70.69359.923+10.7701.17973
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher74.79759.923+14.8741.24822
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower57.70359.923-2.2200.96295
A5s, two-tone69.05259.923+9.1291.15235
A5s, monotone63.84059.923+3.9171.06537
A5s, paired75.42159.923+15.4981.25863
53s, all flops29.30739.693-10.3860.73834
53s, rainbow, ten or higher25.20339.693-14.4900.63495
53s, rainbow, nine or lower42.29739.693+2.6041.06560
53s, two-tone30.94839.693-8.7450.77968
53s, monotone36.16039.693-3.5330.91099
53s, paired24.57939.693-15.1140.61923

Does a shared suit matter?

For this pair the shared-suit row is empty: the two hands cannot both own a card of one suit without reusing a card.

A5s against 53s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA5s winsTies53s winsA5s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0069.4272.53228.04170.693

How often this matchup comes up

A5s against 53s is made up of 12 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0007% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 24 counting both seat orders, 0.0015%.

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average A5s takes back $141.38 of it, which is $41.38 more than it put in, and 53s takes back $58.62, $41.38 less than it put in.

Think in thousands: about 694 of 1,000 go to A5s, about 281 go to 53s, and about 25 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get 53s with 29.31% against A5s with 70.69%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

The calculator link fills in As5s against 5h3h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 12 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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