A5s vs 86s: preflop equity

In equity, A5s against 86s stands at 56.69% to 43.31%, a gap of 13.38 points.

A5s

56.69%

Wins 56.43%, ties 0.51%

86s

43.31%

Wins 43.06%, ties 0.51%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A5s against 86s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A5s against 86s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A5s56.4340.50543.06156.686
86s43.0610.50556.43443.314

A5s meets 86s, and both are suited hands. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. A split pot comes up on 0.51% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

A5s ranks number 30 of 169 starting hands, and 86s ranks number 110, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A5s15,461,000138,00011,797,000
86s11,797,000138,00015,461,000

16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

A5s against 86s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A5s1.3091.7722.3220.764
86s0.7642.3221.7721.309

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: A5s holds 62.34% on paired flops and 38.15% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). On low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) the numbers flip and 86s is the one ahead.

A5s against 86s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA5s winsTies86s winsA5s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22059.7600.20940.03159.865
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68937.8370.62761.53638.150
Two-tone46.72755.3120.26144.42755.442
Monotone5.27352.4773.42644.09754.190
Paired17.09162.0020.66937.32962.337

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 59.92%, A5s changes by -3.23 points, and 86s, from 46.24%, by -2.93.

A5s and 86s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A5s, all flops56.68659.923-3.2370.94598
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher59.86559.923-0.0580.99903
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower38.15059.923-21.7730.63665
A5s, two-tone55.44259.923-4.4810.92522
A5s, monotone54.19059.923-5.7330.90433
A5s, paired62.33759.923+2.4141.04029
86s, all flops43.31446.243-2.9290.93666
86s, rainbow, ten or higher40.13546.243-6.1080.86792
86s, rainbow, nine or lower61.85046.243+15.6071.33750
86s, two-tone44.55846.243-1.6850.96356
86s, monotone45.81046.243-0.4330.99064
86s, paired37.66346.243-8.5800.81446

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, A5s has 58.54%; looking only at deals where they do not, 56.07%. A5s does better with a shared suit, by 2.47 points.

A5s against 86s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA5s winsTies86s winsA5s equity
Share a suit425.0058.2500.58341.16758.541
No shared suit1275.0055.8280.47943.69356.068

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 16 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0010% of 1,624,350, and 32 (0.0020%) in either order.

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average A5s takes back $113.38 of it, which is $13.38 more than it put in, and 86s takes back $86.62, $13.38 less than it put in.

A thousand deals look like this: A5s takes 564, 86s takes 431, 5 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, 86s against A5s, shows 43.31% for 86s and 56.69% for A5s. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

As5s against 8h6h is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 16 specific A5s against 86s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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