A5s vs A4s: preflop equity

Before any board card is dealt, A5s holds 55.09% equity against A4s, which leaves A4s with 44.91%.

A5s

55.09%

Wins 35.61%, ties 38.96%

A4s

44.91%

Wins 25.43%, ties 38.96%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A5s against A4s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A5s against A4s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A5s35.60838.96225.43055.089
A4s25.43038.96235.60844.911

A5s and A4s are both suited hands. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. About 38.96% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

For context, A5s sits at number 30 of 169 starting hands and A4s at number 35 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A5s7,317,0008,006,0005,225,000
A4s5,225,0008,006,0007,317,000

The total is exact: 12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

A5s against A4s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A5s1.2272.8083.9320.815
A4s0.8153.9322.8081.227

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures A5s' equity moves by 7.45 points, from 52.34% on paired flops to 59.79% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). A5s stays ahead on all five textures.

A5s against A4s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA5s winsTiesA4s winsA5s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.52633.21644.14722.63755.289
Rainbow, nine or lower6.38347.97323.62628.40159.786
Two-tone46.54338.06134.81527.12455.469
Monotone5.21540.48427.28232.23454.125
Paired17.33326.38251.92321.69552.343

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 59.92%, A5s changes by -4.83 points, and A4s, from 59.03%, by -14.12.

A5s and A4s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A5s, all flops55.08959.923-4.8340.91933
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher55.28959.923-4.6340.92267
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower59.78659.923-0.1370.99771
A5s, two-tone55.46959.923-4.4540.92567
A5s, monotone54.12559.923-5.7980.90324
A5s, paired52.34359.923-7.5800.87350
A4s, all flops44.91159.034-14.1230.76076
A4s, rainbow, ten or higher44.71159.034-14.3230.75738
A4s, rainbow, nine or lower40.21459.034-18.8200.68120
A4s, two-tone44.53159.034-14.5030.75433
A4s, monotone45.87559.034-13.1590.77709
A4s, paired47.65759.034-11.3770.80728

Does a shared suit matter?

These two classes cannot share a suit in any legal deal, so there is only one row to read: A5s holds 55.09% in every deal of this matchup.

A5s against A4s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA5s winsTiesA4s winsA5s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0035.60838.96225.43055.089

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 12 are A5s in one seat and A4s in the other (0.0007%); with the seats swapped too, 24 (0.0015%).

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. A5s averages $110.18 from the $200, up $10.18; A4s averages $89.82, down $10.18.

Think in thousands: about 356 of 1,000 go to A5s, about 254 go to A4s, and about 390 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From A4s' side the equity is 44.91%, and from A5s' side it is 55.09%.

The calculator link fills in As5s against Ah4h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 12 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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