A8s vs 64s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, A8s takes 62.68% of the pot on average and 64s takes the other 37.32%.

A8s

62.68%

Wins 62.43%, ties 0.52%

64s

37.32%

Wins 37.05%, ties 0.52%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A8s against 64s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A8s against 64s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A8s62.4250.51537.06062.683
64s37.0600.51562.42537.317

A8s and 64s are both suited hands. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Ties are part of the picture: 0.52% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

Place 21 of 169 belongs to A8s and place 138 belongs to 64s in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A8s17,102,000141,00010,153,000
64s10,153,000141,00017,102,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

A8s against 64s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A8s1.6801.6022.6980.595
64s0.5952.6981.6021.680

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: A8s holds 66.56% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 46.08% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 64s takes over on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.

A8s against 64s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA8s winsTies64s winsA8s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22066.4510.20933.34066.555
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68945.7370.67953.58446.077
Two-tone46.72761.7410.26837.99161.875
Monotone5.27358.0303.46838.50259.764
Paired17.09165.2690.67434.05765.606

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 61.94% for A8s, 41.33% for 64s. Here the change is +0.74 and -4.01 points.

A8s and 64s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A8s, all flops62.68361.944+0.7391.01193
A8s, rainbow, ten or higher66.55561.944+4.6111.07444
A8s, rainbow, nine or lower46.07761.944-15.8670.74385
A8s, two-tone61.87561.944-0.0690.99889
A8s, monotone59.76461.944-2.1800.96481
A8s, paired65.60661.944+3.6621.05912
64s, all flops37.31741.333-4.0160.90284
64s, rainbow, ten or higher33.44541.333-7.8880.80916
64s, rainbow, nine or lower53.92341.333+12.5901.30460
64s, two-tone38.12541.333-3.2080.92239
64s, monotone40.23641.333-1.0970.97346
64s, paired34.39441.333-6.9390.83212

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, A8s has 64.99%; looking only at deals where they do not, 61.91%. A8s does better with a shared suit, by 3.08 points.

A8s against 64s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA8s winsTies64s winsA8s equity
Share a suit425.0064.6940.59234.71464.990
No shared suit1275.0061.6690.48937.84261.914

How often this matchup comes up

How often does it happen? 16 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0010%) are A8s against 64s, and 32 (0.0020%) if either hand may sit in either seat.

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: A8s averages $125.36 back, ahead of its $100 by $25.36, while 64s averages $74.64, short of its $100 by $25.36.

A thousand deals look like this: A8s takes 624, 64s takes 371, 5 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

64s versus A8s is this same page seen from the other hand: 37.32% for 64s, 62.68% for A8s.

As8s against 6h4h is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 16 ways to deal one A8s and one 64s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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