A8s
56.90%
Wins 56.66%, ties 0.47%
J9s
43.10%
Wins 42.87%, ties 0.47%
A8s against J9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A8s | 56.661 | 0.471 | 42.868 | 56.897 |
| J9s | 42.868 | 0.471 | 56.661 | 43.103 |
A8s and J9s are both suited hands. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Ties are 0.47% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, A8s is number 21 and J9s is number 55.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| A8s | 15,523,000 | 129,000 | 11,744,000 |
| J9s | 11,744,000 | 129,000 | 15,523,000 |
Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A8s | 1.320 | 1.765 | 2.333 | 0.758 |
| J9s | 0.758 | 2.333 | 1.765 | 1.320 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures A8s' equity moves by 7.62 points, from 54.41% on monotone flops to 62.03% on paired flops. A8s stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | A8s wins | Ties | J9s wins | A8s equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.543 | 56.297 | 0.155 | 43.548 | 56.375 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.366 | 55.320 | 0.627 | 44.053 | 55.634 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 55.633 | 0.228 | 44.139 | 55.747 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 52.712 | 3.393 | 43.895 | 54.409 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 61.712 | 0.633 | 37.655 | 62.029 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 61.94%, A8s changes by -5.04 points, and J9s, from 55.66%, by -12.56.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A8s, all flops | 56.897 | 61.944 | -5.047 | 0.91852 |
| A8s, rainbow, ten or higher | 56.375 | 61.944 | -5.569 | 0.91010 |
| A8s, rainbow, nine or lower | 55.634 | 61.944 | -6.310 | 0.89813 |
| A8s, two-tone | 55.747 | 61.944 | -6.197 | 0.89996 |
| A8s, monotone | 54.409 | 61.944 | -7.535 | 0.87836 |
| A8s, paired | 62.029 | 61.944 | +0.085 | 1.00137 |
| J9s, all flops | 43.103 | 55.662 | -12.559 | 0.77437 |
| J9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 43.625 | 55.662 | -12.037 | 0.78375 |
| J9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 44.366 | 55.662 | -11.296 | 0.79706 |
| J9s, two-tone | 44.253 | 55.662 | -11.409 | 0.79503 |
| J9s, monotone | 45.591 | 55.662 | -10.071 | 0.81907 |
| J9s, paired | 37.971 | 55.662 | -17.691 | 0.68217 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, A8s has 58.78%; looking only at deals where they do not, 56.27%. A8s does better with a shared suit, by 2.51 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | A8s wins | Ties | J9s wins | A8s equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 58.504 | 0.545 | 40.951 | 58.777 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 56.046 | 0.447 | 43.507 | 56.270 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 16 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0010% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 32, or 0.0020%.
A worked example
To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. A8s is worth $113.80 on average (+$13.80); J9s is worth $86.20 (-$13.80).
Think in thousands: about 566 of 1,000 go to A8s, about 429 go to J9s, and about 5 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, J9s against A8s, shows 43.10% for J9s and 56.90% for A8s. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in As8s against Jh9h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 16 specific deals of A8s against J9s, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session