A8s
59.63%
Wins 59.41%, ties 0.44%
KTo
40.37%
Wins 40.15%, ties 0.44%
A8s against KTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A8s | 59.410 | 0.440 | 40.150 | 59.630 |
| KTo | 40.150 | 0.440 | 59.410 | 40.370 |
We compare a suited hand with an offsuit hand. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
A8s is ahead, but KTo is far from dead: it takes 402 of every 1,000 deals outright. Ties are part of the picture: 0.44% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
Among the 169 starting hands, A8s is number 21 and KTo is number 33 by strength against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| A8s | 48,829,000 | 362,000 | 33,000,000 |
| KTo | 33,000,000 | 362,000 | 48,829,000 |
The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A8s | 1.477 | 1.683 | 2.491 | 0.677 |
| KTo | 0.677 | 2.491 | 1.683 | 1.477 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. A8s does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 76.26%, and worst on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 52.21%. A8s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | A8s wins | Ties | KTo wins | A8s equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.988 | 52.127 | 0.156 | 47.717 | 52.205 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 75.904 | 0.719 | 23.377 | 76.264 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 59.138 | 0.262 | 40.600 | 59.269 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 55.115 | 2.364 | 42.521 | 56.297 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 64.890 | 0.620 | 34.490 | 65.200 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts A8s from 61.94% by -2.31 points and KTo from 59.74% by -19.37 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A8s, all flops | 59.630 | 61.944 | -2.314 | 0.96264 |
| A8s, rainbow, ten or higher | 52.205 | 61.944 | -9.739 | 0.84278 |
| A8s, rainbow, nine or lower | 76.264 | 61.944 | +14.320 | 1.23118 |
| A8s, two-tone | 59.269 | 61.944 | -2.675 | 0.95682 |
| A8s, monotone | 56.297 | 61.944 | -5.647 | 0.90884 |
| A8s, paired | 65.200 | 61.944 | +3.256 | 1.05256 |
| KTo, all flops | 40.370 | 59.739 | -19.369 | 0.67577 |
| KTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 47.795 | 59.739 | -11.944 | 0.80006 |
| KTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 23.736 | 59.739 | -36.003 | 0.39733 |
| KTo, two-tone | 40.731 | 59.739 | -19.008 | 0.68182 |
| KTo, monotone | 43.703 | 59.739 | -16.036 | 0.73157 |
| KTo, paired | 34.800 | 59.739 | -24.939 | 0.58253 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 59.29% for A8s with a shared suit and 59.97% without one. A8s does better with no shared suit, by 0.68 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | A8s wins | Ties | KTo wins | A8s equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 59.051 | 0.480 | 40.469 | 59.291 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 59.769 | 0.399 | 39.832 | 59.968 |
How often this matchup comes up
How often does it happen? 48 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0030%) are A8s against KTo, and 96 (0.0059%) if either hand may sit in either seat.
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: A8s averages $119.26 back, ahead of its $100 by $19.26, while KTo averages $80.74, short of its $100 by $19.26.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 594 for A8s, 402 for KTo and 4 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
One page covers both views. From KTo's side the equity is 40.37%, and from A8s' side it is 59.63%.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with As8s against KhTd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session