A9o vs 53s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, A9o takes 60.07% of the pot on average and 53s takes the other 39.93%.

A9o

60.07%

Wins 59.82%, ties 0.51%

53s

39.93%

Wins 39.67%, ties 0.51%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A9o against 53s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A9o against 53s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A9o59.8170.50939.67460.072
53s39.6740.50959.81739.928

One side is an offsuit hand, the other is a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

A 20.14 point lead is real, and 53s still takes about 397 of every 1,000 deals outright. The tie share is 0.51%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, A9o is number 25 and 53s is number 146.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A9o49,164,000418,00032,608,000
53s32,608,000418,00049,164,000

48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

A9o against 53s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A9o1.5051.6722.5210.665
53s0.6652.5211.6721.505

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

A9o prefers rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where it holds 64.45%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 46.13%. A9o is the favorite overall but falls behind on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower).

A9o against 53s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA9o winsTies53s winsA9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.34164.3260.24335.43164.448
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68945.7030.84453.45346.125
Two-tone46.66758.1280.32941.54358.292
Monotone5.21256.9972.48640.51758.240
Paired17.09163.3060.67736.01763.644

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, A9o changes by -0.70 points (baseline 60.77%) and 53s by +0.24 points (baseline 39.69%).

A9o and 53s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A9o, all flops60.07260.773-0.7010.98847
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher64.44860.773+3.6751.06047
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower46.12560.773-14.6480.75897
A9o, two-tone58.29260.773-2.4810.95918
A9o, monotone58.24060.773-2.5330.95832
A9o, paired63.64460.773+2.8711.04724
53s, all flops39.92839.693+0.2351.00592
53s, rainbow, ten or higher35.55239.693-4.1410.89567
53s, rainbow, nine or lower53.87539.693+14.1821.35729
53s, two-tone41.70839.693+2.0151.05076
53s, monotone41.76039.693+2.0671.05207
53s, paired36.35639.693-3.3370.91593

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 24 of them the hands share a suit and A9o holds 60.76%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 59.38%. A9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.38 points.

A9o against 53s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA9o winsTies53s winsA9o equity
Share a suit2450.0060.4870.54838.96560.761
No shared suit2450.0059.1480.46940.38359.383

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 48 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0030% of 1,624,350, and 96 (0.0059%) in either order.

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. A9o is worth $120.14 on average (+$20.14); 53s is worth $79.86 (-$20.14).

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 598 for A9o, 397 for 53s and 5 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

53s versus A9o is this same page seen from the other hand: 39.93% for 53s, 60.07% for A9o.

As9h against 5d3d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 48 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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