A9o
70.01%
Wins 68.99%, ties 2.05%
K9s
29.99%
Wins 28.96%, ties 2.05%
A9o against K9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A9o | 68.988 | 2.046 | 28.966 | 70.011 |
| K9s | 28.966 | 2.046 | 68.988 | 29.989 |
One side is an offsuit hand, the other is a suited hand. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.
A9o is well ahead, and K9s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. About 2.05% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, A9o is number 25 of the 169 starting hands and K9s is number 29.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| A9o | 42,526,000 | 1,261,000 | 17,855,000 |
| K9s | 17,855,000 | 1,261,000 | 42,526,000 |
The board total is exact, 36 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A9o | 2.335 | 1.450 | 3.452 | 0.428 |
| K9s | 0.428 | 3.452 | 1.450 | 2.335 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
A9o prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 82.99%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 65.16%. A9o stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | A9o wins | Ties | K9s wins | A9o equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.634 | 68.073 | 1.508 | 30.419 | 68.827 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 80.959 | 4.059 | 14.982 | 82.988 |
| Two-tone | 46.527 | 67.197 | 1.838 | 30.965 | 68.116 |
| Monotone | 5.192 | 63.555 | 3.211 | 33.234 | 65.160 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 72.363 | 2.287 | 25.350 | 73.507 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 60.77% for A9o and 59.99% for K9s. This opponent changes them by +9.24 and -30.00 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A9o, all flops | 70.011 | 60.773 | +9.238 | 1.15201 |
| A9o, rainbow, ten or higher | 68.827 | 60.773 | +8.054 | 1.13253 |
| A9o, rainbow, nine or lower | 82.988 | 60.773 | +22.215 | 1.36554 |
| A9o, two-tone | 68.116 | 60.773 | +7.343 | 1.12083 |
| A9o, monotone | 65.160 | 60.773 | +4.387 | 1.07219 |
| A9o, paired | 73.507 | 60.773 | +12.734 | 1.20953 |
| K9s, all flops | 29.989 | 59.988 | -29.999 | 0.49992 |
| K9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 31.173 | 59.988 | -28.815 | 0.51965 |
| K9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 17.012 | 59.988 | -42.976 | 0.28359 |
| K9s, two-tone | 31.884 | 59.988 | -28.104 | 0.53151 |
| K9s, monotone | 34.840 | 59.988 | -25.148 | 0.58078 |
| K9s, paired | 26.493 | 59.988 | -33.495 | 0.44164 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common A9o has 71.13% equity, and with none in common it has 69.45%. A9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.68 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | A9o wins | Ties | K9s wins | A9o equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 33.33 | 70.074 | 2.120 | 27.806 | 71.134 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 66.67 | 68.446 | 2.009 | 29.545 | 69.450 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, A9o against K9s appears in 36 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0022%), and in 72 when the seats are swapped too (0.0044%).
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: A9o averages $140.02 back, ahead of its $100 by $40.02, while K9s averages $59.98, short of its $100 by $40.02.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 690 won outright by A9o, about 290 won outright by K9s and about 20 split.
The same matchup from the other side
K9s against A9o adds nothing new: it is 29.99% for K9s and 70.01% for A9o, the same figures reversed.
Keep exploring
As9h against Kd9d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific A9o against K9s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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