A9o vs KTo: preflop equity

In equity, A9o against KTo stands at 58.02% to 41.98%, a gap of 16.04 points.

A9o

58.02%

Wins 57.80%, ties 0.43%

KTo

41.98%

Wins 41.77%, ties 0.43%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A9o against KTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A9o against KTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A9o57.8030.42741.77058.016
KTo41.7700.42757.80341.984

The matchup is offsuit hands on both sides, A9o against KTo. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

A9o is ahead, but KTo is far from dead: it takes 418 of every 1,000 deals outright. 0.43% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

A9o ranks number 25 of 169 starting hands, and KTo ranks number 33, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 246,571,776 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A9o142,526,0001,053,000102,993,000
KTo102,993,0001,053,000142,526,000

144 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

A9o against KTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A9o1.3821.7302.3940.724
KTo0.7242.3941.7301.382

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: A9o holds 75.21% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 51.66% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. A9o stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

A9o against KTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA9o winsTiesKTo winsA9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.11051.5810.16048.25951.661
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04274.7940.82224.38475.205
Two-tone46.60656.6620.29743.04156.810
Monotone5.15154.4691.68843.84355.313
Paired17.09163.6950.61635.68964.003

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 60.77%, A9o changes by -2.75 points, and KTo, from 59.74%, by -17.76.

A9o and KTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A9o, all flops58.01660.773-2.7570.95463
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher51.66160.773-9.1120.85006
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower75.20560.773+14.4321.23747
A9o, two-tone56.81060.773-3.9630.93479
A9o, monotone55.31360.773-5.4600.91016
A9o, paired64.00360.773+3.2301.05315
KTo, all flops41.98459.739-17.7550.70279
KTo, rainbow, ten or higher48.33959.739-11.4000.80917
KTo, rainbow, nine or lower24.79559.739-34.9440.41506
KTo, two-tone43.19059.739-16.5490.72298
KTo, monotone44.68759.739-15.0520.74804
KTo, paired35.99759.739-23.7420.60257

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 58.03% for A9o with a shared suit and 57.96% without one. The two rows differ by only 0.07 points, so suits barely change this matchup.

A9o against KTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA9o winsTiesKTo winsA9o equity
Share a suit12083.3357.8060.44341.75158.027
No shared suit2416.6757.7870.34841.86557.961

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 144 specific-card matchups (0.0089% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 288 once you count the seats both ways (0.0177%).

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. A9o averages $116.04 from the $200, up $16.04; KTo averages $83.96, down $16.04.

Per 1,000 deals: A9o wins about 578, KTo wins about 418, and about 4 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From KTo's side the equity is 41.98%, and from A9o's side it is 58.02%.

The calculator link fills in As9h against KdTc, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 144 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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