AA
80.46%
Wins 80.27%, ties 0.37%
66
19.54%
Wins 19.36%, ties 0.37%
AA against 66: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA | 80.274 | 0.367 | 19.359 | 80.458 |
| 66 | 19.359 | 0.367 | 80.274 | 19.542 |
The matchup is pocket pairs on both sides, AA against 66. Two pairs against each other is a one-way street: the lower pair needs one of its two remaining cards.
A gap this wide means 66 is in trouble before the flop and has few good runouts. Of every 100 boards, about 0.37 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, AA is number 1 of the 169 starting hands and 66 is number 17.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA | 49,483,000 | 226,000 | 11,933,000 |
| 66 | 11,933,000 | 226,000 | 49,483,000 |
36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA | 4.117 | 1.246 | 5.166 | 0.243 |
| 66 | 0.243 | 5.166 | 1.246 | 4.117 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Paired flops are the best for AA (86.49%); low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the worst (65.03%). AA stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | AA wins | Ties | 66 wins | AA equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 83.446 | 0.246 | 16.308 | 83.569 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 64.625 | 0.817 | 34.558 | 65.034 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 79.064 | 0.348 | 20.588 | 79.238 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 74.006 | 1.782 | 24.212 | 74.897 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 86.488 | 0.007 | 13.505 | 86.492 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, AA changes by -4.74 points (baseline 85.20%) and 66 by -43.75 points (baseline 63.29%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA, all flops | 80.458 | 85.204 | -4.746 | 0.94430 |
| AA, rainbow, ten or higher | 83.569 | 85.204 | -1.635 | 0.98081 |
| AA, rainbow, nine or lower | 65.034 | 85.204 | -20.170 | 0.76327 |
| AA, two-tone | 79.238 | 85.204 | -5.966 | 0.92998 |
| AA, monotone | 74.897 | 85.204 | -10.307 | 0.87903 |
| AA, paired | 86.492 | 85.204 | +1.288 | 1.01512 |
| 66, all flops | 19.542 | 63.285 | -43.743 | 0.30879 |
| 66, rainbow, ten or higher | 16.431 | 63.285 | -46.854 | 0.25963 |
| 66, rainbow, nine or lower | 34.966 | 63.285 | -28.319 | 0.55252 |
| 66, two-tone | 20.762 | 63.285 | -42.523 | 0.32807 |
| 66, monotone | 25.103 | 63.285 | -38.182 | 0.39667 |
| 66, paired | 13.508 | 63.285 | -49.777 | 0.21345 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Two kinds of deal exist here. In 30 of them the hands share a suit and AA holds 80.59%. In 6 they do not, and it holds 79.80%. AA does better with a shared suit, by 0.79 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AA wins | Ties | 66 wins | AA equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 80.398 | 0.382 | 19.220 | 80.589 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 79.657 | 0.289 | 20.054 | 79.801 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 36 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0022% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 72, or 0.0044%.
A worked example
With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $160.92 for AA and $39.08 for 66; the first side gains $60.92 per all-in and the second gives up $60.92.
Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 803 wins for AA, 193 for 66 and 4 chopped pots.
The same matchup from the other side
66 versus AA is this same page seen from the other hand: 19.54% for 66, 80.46% for AA.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in AsAh against 6d6c, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 36 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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