AJs vs 43s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, AJs takes 63.11% of the pot on average and 43s takes the other 36.89%.

AJs

63.11%

Wins 62.82%, ties 0.57%

43s

36.89%

Wins 36.61%, ties 0.57%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AJs against 43s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AJs against 43s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AJs62.8240.57036.60663.109
43s36.6060.57062.82436.891

Here suited hands face each other, AJs on one side and 43s on the other. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

A 26.22 point lead is real, and 43s still takes about 366 of every 1,000 deals outright. About 0.57% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

For context, AJs sits at number 11 of 169 starting hands and 43s at number 150 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AJs17,212,000156,00010,029,000
43s10,029,000156,00017,212,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

AJs against 43s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AJs1.7111.5922.7320.585
43s0.5852.7321.5921.711

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, AJs peaks at 69.56% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 38.55% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). The overall edge for AJs hides low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where 43s comes out in front.

AJs against 43s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAJs winsTies43s winsAJs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59569.4600.18930.35169.555
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31438.0421.02160.93738.552
Two-tone46.72762.1030.32337.57462.264
Monotone5.27358.3053.65638.03960.133
Paired17.09165.7930.67433.53366.130

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 65.39% for AJs, 38.64% for 43s. Here the change is -2.28 and -1.75 points.

AJs and 43s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AJs, all flops63.10965.393-2.2840.96507
AJs, rainbow, ten or higher69.55565.393+4.1621.06365
AJs, rainbow, nine or lower38.55265.393-26.8410.58954
AJs, two-tone62.26465.393-3.1290.95215
AJs, monotone60.13365.393-5.2600.91956
AJs, paired66.13065.393+0.7371.01127
43s, all flops36.89138.642-1.7510.95469
43s, rainbow, ten or higher30.44538.642-8.1970.78787
43s, rainbow, nine or lower61.44838.642+22.8061.59019
43s, two-tone37.73638.642-0.9060.97655
43s, monotone39.86738.642+1.2251.03170
43s, paired33.87038.642-4.7720.87651

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 65.45% for AJs with a shared suit and 62.33% without one. AJs does better with a shared suit, by 3.12 points.

AJs against 43s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAJs winsTies43s winsAJs equity
Share a suit425.0065.1270.64534.22865.450
No shared suit1275.0062.0560.54537.39962.328

How often this matchup comes up

How often does it happen? 16 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0010%) are AJs against 43s, and 32 (0.0020%) if either hand may sit in either seat.

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. AJs averages $126.22 from the $200, up $26.22; 43s averages $73.78, down $26.22.

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 628 outright wins for AJs, 366 for 43s, and 6 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

The mirror image, 43s against AJs, is 36.89% to 63.11%, and its address redirects to this page.

Open the calculator with AsJs against 4h3h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 16 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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