AJs
63.21%
Wins 62.98%, ties 0.47%
T8s
36.79%
Wins 36.55%, ties 0.47%
AJs against T8s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 62.975 | 0.472 | 36.553 | 63.211 |
| T8s | 36.553 | 0.472 | 62.975 | 36.789 |
This is a contest between two suited hands, AJs and T8s. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.
A 26.42 point lead is real, and T8s still takes about 365 of every 1,000 deals outright. Ties are part of the picture: 0.47% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
By strength against a random hand, AJs holds place 11 of 169 and T8s holds place 73.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 17,253,000 | 129,000 | 10,014,000 |
| T8s | 10,014,000 | 129,000 | 17,253,000 |
The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 1.718 | 1.588 | 2.736 | 0.582 |
| T8s | 0.582 | 2.736 | 1.588 | 1.718 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the best for AJs (66.61%); low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the worst (52.90%). AJs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AJs wins | Ties | T8s wins | AJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 66.534 | 0.146 | 33.320 | 66.607 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 52.594 | 0.620 | 46.786 | 52.904 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 62.356 | 0.230 | 37.414 | 62.471 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 58.448 | 3.395 | 38.157 | 60.145 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 65.374 | 0.628 | 33.998 | 65.688 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 65.39% for AJs and 52.33% for T8s. This opponent changes them by -2.18 and -15.54 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJs, all flops | 63.211 | 65.393 | -2.182 | 0.96663 |
| AJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 66.607 | 65.393 | +1.214 | 1.01856 |
| AJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 52.904 | 65.393 | -12.489 | 0.80902 |
| AJs, two-tone | 62.471 | 65.393 | -2.922 | 0.95532 |
| AJs, monotone | 60.145 | 65.393 | -5.248 | 0.91975 |
| AJs, paired | 65.688 | 65.393 | +0.295 | 1.00451 |
| T8s, all flops | 36.789 | 52.334 | -15.545 | 0.70297 |
| T8s, rainbow, ten or higher | 33.393 | 52.334 | -18.941 | 0.63807 |
| T8s, rainbow, nine or lower | 47.096 | 52.334 | -5.238 | 0.89991 |
| T8s, two-tone | 37.529 | 52.334 | -14.805 | 0.71711 |
| T8s, monotone | 39.855 | 52.334 | -12.479 | 0.76155 |
| T8s, paired | 34.312 | 52.334 | -18.022 | 0.65563 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common AJs has 65.61% equity, and with none in common it has 62.41%. AJs does better with a shared suit, by 3.20 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AJs wins | Ties | T8s wins | AJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 65.337 | 0.546 | 34.117 | 65.610 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 62.188 | 0.447 | 37.365 | 62.412 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, AJs against T8s appears in 16 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0010%), and in 32 when the seats are swapped too (0.0020%).
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average AJs takes back $126.42 of it, which is $26.42 more than it put in, and T8s takes back $73.58, $26.42 less than it put in.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 630 won outright by AJs, about 365 won outright by T8s and about 5 split.
The same matchup from the other side
Swap the hands and you get T8s with 36.79% against AJs with 63.21%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in AsJs against Th8h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 16 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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