AKo vs A9o: preflop equity

In equity, AKo against A9o stands at 74.24% to 25.76%, a gap of 48.48 points.

AKo

74.24%

Wins 71.88%, ties 4.73%

A9o

25.76%

Wins 23.39%, ties 4.73%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AKo against A9o: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AKo against A9o, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AKo71.8784.72723.39574.241
A9o23.3954.72771.87825.759

Each side holds one of the offsuit hands: AKo and A9o. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

That is a clear edge, 74.24% to 25.76%, but A9o still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. About 4.73% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

Among the 169 starting hands, AKo is number 12 and A9o is number 25 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AKo132,923,0008,742,00043,264,000
A9o43,264,0008,742,000132,923,000

The total is exact: 108 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

AKo against A9o read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AKo2.8821.3914.2740.347
A9o0.3474.2741.3912.882

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, AKo's equity runs from 60.22% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 79.45% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. AKo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AKo against A9o by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAKo winsTiesA9o winsAKo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.00378.1952.50819.29779.449
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04257.9044.62737.46960.217
Two-tone46.47772.9162.93324.15174.382
Monotone5.14467.0183.86529.11768.950
Paired17.33467.46812.90619.62673.921

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 65.32%, AKo changes by +8.92 points, and A9o, from 60.77%, by -35.01.

AKo and A9o here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AKo, all flops74.24165.320+8.9211.13657
AKo, rainbow, ten or higher79.44965.320+14.1291.21630
AKo, rainbow, nine or lower60.21765.320-5.1030.92188
AKo, two-tone74.38265.320+9.0621.13873
AKo, monotone68.95065.320+3.6301.05557
AKo, paired73.92165.320+8.6011.13167
A9o, all flops25.75960.773-35.0140.42386
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher20.55160.773-40.2220.33816
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower39.78360.773-20.9900.65462
A9o, two-tone25.61860.773-35.1550.42154
A9o, monotone31.05060.773-29.7230.51092
A9o, paired26.07960.773-34.6940.42912

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, AKo has 74.35%; looking only at deals where they do not, 73.87%. AKo does better with a shared suit, by 0.48 points.

AKo against A9o by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAKo winsTiesA9o winsAKo equity
Share a suit8477.7871.9734.75123.27674.348
No shared suit2422.2271.5474.64323.81073.869

How often this matchup comes up

AKo against A9o is made up of 108 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0066% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 216 counting both seat orders, 0.0133%.

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average AKo takes back $148.48 of it, which is $48.48 more than it put in, and A9o takes back $51.52, $48.48 less than it put in.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 719 won outright by AKo, about 234 won outright by A9o and about 47 split.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for A9o against AKo, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 25.76% and 74.24%.

Try AsKh against Ad9c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 108 specific AKo against A9o deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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