AKo vs ATo: preflop equity

If AKo and ATo get all the chips in before the flop, AKo owns 73.74% of the pot in the long run and ATo owns 26.26%.

AKo

73.74%

Wins 71.42%, ties 4.65%

ATo

26.26%

Wins 23.93%, ties 4.65%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AKo against ATo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AKo against ATo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AKo71.4164.64723.93773.739
ATo23.9374.64771.41626.261

AKo and ATo are both offsuit hands. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

A lead of 47.48 points is large but not decisive: ATo still takes about 239 of every 1,000 deals. A split pot comes up on 4.65% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, AKo is number 12 of the 169 starting hands and ATo is number 19.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AKo132,069,0008,594,00044,266,000
ATo44,266,0008,594,000132,069,000

The total is exact: 108 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

AKo against ATo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AKo2.8081.4004.1780.356
ATo0.3564.1781.4002.808

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

AKo prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 82.83%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 68.55%. AKo stays ahead on all five textures.

AKo against ATo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAKo winsTiesATo winsAKo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.27570.7102.07727.21371.749
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77180.1625.33214.50682.828
Two-tone46.47772.4192.84124.74073.840
Monotone5.14466.6473.80629.54768.550
Paired17.33367.16612.88719.94773.609

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 65.32% for AKo, 62.72% for ATo. Here the change is +8.42 and -36.46 points.

AKo and ATo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AKo, all flops73.73965.320+8.4191.12889
AKo, rainbow, ten or higher71.74965.320+6.4291.09842
AKo, rainbow, nine or lower82.82865.320+17.5081.26803
AKo, two-tone73.84065.320+8.5201.13043
AKo, monotone68.55065.320+3.2301.04945
AKo, paired73.60965.320+8.2891.12690
ATo, all flops26.26162.722-36.4610.41869
ATo, rainbow, ten or higher28.25162.722-34.4710.45042
ATo, rainbow, nine or lower17.17262.722-45.5500.27378
ATo, two-tone26.16062.722-36.5620.41708
ATo, monotone31.45062.722-31.2720.50142
ATo, paired26.39162.722-36.3310.42076

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? AKo has 73.84% when the hands share a suit and 73.37% when they do not. AKo does better with a shared suit, by 0.47 points.

AKo against ATo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAKo winsTiesATo winsAKo equity
Share a suit8477.7871.5094.67123.82073.844
No shared suit2422.2271.0904.56624.34473.373

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 108 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0066% of 1,624,350, and 216 (0.0133%) in either order.

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. AKo is worth $147.48 on average (+$47.48); ATo is worth $52.52 (-$47.48).

Per 1,000 deals: AKo wins about 714, ATo wins about 239, and about 47 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: ATo against AKo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so ATo holds 26.26% and AKo holds 73.74%. That address sends you back to this page.

AsKh against AdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 108 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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