AKo
63.12%
Wins 62.90%, ties 0.45%
JTo
36.88%
Wins 36.65%, ties 0.45%
AKo against JTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKo | 62.899 | 0.445 | 36.656 | 63.122 |
| JTo | 36.656 | 0.445 | 62.899 | 36.878 |
This is a contest between two offsuit hands, AKo and JTo. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
AKo is ahead, but JTo is far from dead: it takes 367 of every 1,000 deals outright. About 0.45% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.
Place 12 of 169 belongs to AKo and place 57 belongs to JTo in the ranking against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKo | 155,091,000 | 1,097,000 | 90,383,000 |
| JTo | 90,383,000 | 1,097,000 | 155,091,000 |
144 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKo | 1.712 | 1.590 | 2.728 | 0.584 |
| JTo | 0.584 | 2.728 | 1.590 | 1.712 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and AKo is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (69.90%) and weakest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (60.00%). AKo stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKo wins | Ties | JTo wins | AKo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.381 | 59.941 | 0.123 | 39.936 | 60.003 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 69.414 | 0.969 | 29.617 | 69.898 |
| Two-tone | 46.606 | 62.365 | 0.320 | 37.315 | 62.525 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 61.591 | 1.703 | 36.706 | 62.442 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 65.835 | 0.608 | 33.557 | 66.139 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 65.32% for AKo and 55.25% for JTo. This opponent changes them by -2.20 and -18.37 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKo, all flops | 63.122 | 65.320 | -2.198 | 0.96635 |
| AKo, rainbow, ten or higher | 60.003 | 65.320 | -5.317 | 0.91860 |
| AKo, rainbow, nine or lower | 69.898 | 65.320 | +4.578 | 1.07009 |
| AKo, two-tone | 62.525 | 65.320 | -2.795 | 0.95721 |
| AKo, monotone | 62.442 | 65.320 | -2.878 | 0.95594 |
| AKo, paired | 66.139 | 65.320 | +0.819 | 1.01254 |
| JTo, all flops | 36.878 | 55.248 | -18.370 | 0.66750 |
| JTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 39.997 | 55.248 | -15.251 | 0.72395 |
| JTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 30.102 | 55.248 | -25.146 | 0.54485 |
| JTo, two-tone | 37.475 | 55.248 | -17.773 | 0.67831 |
| JTo, monotone | 37.558 | 55.248 | -17.690 | 0.67981 |
| JTo, paired | 33.861 | 55.248 | -21.387 | 0.61289 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common AKo has 63.22% equity, and with none in common it has 62.61%. AKo does better with a shared suit, by 0.61 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKo wins | Ties | JTo wins | AKo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 120 | 83.33 | 62.994 | 0.460 | 36.546 | 63.224 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 16.67 | 62.428 | 0.365 | 37.207 | 62.611 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0177% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 288 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says AKo gets $126.24 of it on average and JTo gets $73.76.
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 629 outright wins for AKo, 367 for JTo, and 4 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, JTo against AKo, shows 36.88% for JTo and 63.12% for AKo. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with AsKh against JdTc already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 144 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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