AKo vs K9o: preflop equity

If AKo and K9o get all the chips in before the flop, AKo owns 76.24% of the pot in the long run and K9o owns 23.76%.

AKo

76.24%

Wins 75.63%, ties 1.22%

K9o

23.76%

Wins 23.15%, ties 1.22%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AKo against K9o: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AKo against K9o, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AKo75.6331.21723.15076.241
K9o23.1501.21775.63323.759

This is a contest between two offsuit hands, AKo and K9o. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

AKo is well ahead, and K9o needs a specific kind of board to catch up. Ties are 1.22% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

By strength against a random hand, AKo holds place 12 of 169 and K9o holds place 40.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AKo139,867,0002,251,00042,811,000
K9o42,811,0002,251,000139,867,000

The board total is exact, 108 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

AKo against K9o read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AKo3.2091.3224.3200.312
K9o0.3124.3201.3223.209

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: AKo holds 80.22% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 61.99% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AKo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AKo against K9o by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAKo winsTiesK9o winsAKo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.00379.7390.96419.29780.221
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04261.4401.09137.46961.986
Two-tone46.47775.1490.95723.89475.628
Monotone5.14470.8542.03327.11371.870
Paired17.33478.4272.07619.49779.465

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 65.32% for AKo, 57.81% for K9o. Here the change is +10.92 and -34.05 points.

AKo and K9o here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AKo, all flops76.24165.320+10.9211.16719
AKo, rainbow, ten or higher80.22165.320+14.9011.22812
AKo, rainbow, nine or lower61.98665.320-3.3340.94896
AKo, two-tone75.62865.320+10.3081.15781
AKo, monotone71.87065.320+6.5501.10028
AKo, paired79.46565.320+14.1451.21655
K9o, all flops23.75957.812-34.0530.41097
K9o, rainbow, ten or higher19.77957.812-38.0330.34213
K9o, rainbow, nine or lower38.01457.812-19.7980.65755
K9o, two-tone24.37257.812-33.4400.42157
K9o, monotone28.13057.812-29.6820.48658
K9o, paired20.53557.812-37.2770.35520

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, AKo has 76.42%; looking only at deals where they do not, 75.62%. AKo does better with a shared suit, by 0.80 points.

AKo against K9o by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAKo winsTiesK9o winsAKo equity
Share a suit8477.7875.7991.23922.96276.419
No shared suit2422.2275.0511.13923.81075.621

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 108 specific-card matchups (0.0066% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 216 once you count the seats both ways (0.0133%).

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, AKo's average share is $152.48 (a gain of $52.48) and K9o's is $47.52 (a loss of $52.48).

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 756 outright wins for AKo, 232 for K9o, and 12 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From K9o's side the equity is 23.76%, and from AKo's side it is 76.24%.

Open the calculator with AsKh against Kd9c already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 108 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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