AKs vs KJo: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 75.29% for AKs and 24.71% for KJo, so AKs leads by 50.58 points.

AKs

75.29%

Wins 74.72%, ties 1.14%

KJo

24.71%

Wins 24.14%, ties 1.14%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AKs against KJo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AKs against KJo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AKs74.7221.14224.13675.293
KJo24.1361.14274.72224.707

The first hand is a suited hand; the second is an offsuit hand. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

A lead of 50.58 points is large but not decisive: KJo still takes about 241 of every 1,000 deals. About 1.14% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

Place 8 of 169 belongs to AKs and place 26 belongs to KJo in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AKs46,061,000704,00014,878,000
KJo14,878,000704,00046,061,000

36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

AKs against KJo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AKs3.0471.3384.1430.328
KJo0.3284.1431.3383.047

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

AKs prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 86.60%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 67.32%. AKs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AKs against KJo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAKs winsTiesKJo winsAKs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.17770.6640.77728.55971.053
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77185.9921.20812.80086.596
Two-tone46.52774.6840.82424.49275.096
Monotone5.19266.0322.57131.39767.318
Paired17.33377.8002.02620.17478.813

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 67.05% for AKs and 60.57% for KJo. This opponent changes them by +8.24 and -35.86 points.

AKs and KJo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AKs, all flops75.29367.045+8.2481.12302
AKs, rainbow, ten or higher71.05367.045+4.0081.05978
AKs, rainbow, nine or lower86.59667.045+19.5511.29161
AKs, two-tone75.09667.045+8.0511.12008
AKs, monotone67.31867.045+0.2731.00407
AKs, paired78.81367.045+11.7681.17552
KJo, all flops24.70760.569-35.8620.40791
KJo, rainbow, ten or higher28.94760.569-31.6220.47792
KJo, rainbow, nine or lower13.40460.569-47.1650.22130
KJo, two-tone24.90460.569-35.6650.41117
KJo, monotone32.68260.569-27.8870.53958
KJo, paired21.18760.569-39.3820.34980

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common AKs has 75.05% equity, and with none in common it has 75.41%. AKs does better with no shared suit, by 0.36 points.

AKs against KJo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAKs winsTiesKJo winsAKs equity
Share a suit1233.3374.4481.20724.34575.052
No shared suit2466.6774.8591.10924.03275.414

How often this matchup comes up

How often does it happen? 36 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0022%) are AKs against KJo, and 72 (0.0044%) if either hand may sit in either seat.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, AKs' average share is $150.58 (a gain of $50.58) and KJo's is $49.42 (a loss of $50.58).

A thousand deals look like this: AKs takes 747, KJo takes 241, 12 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

KJo versus AKs is this same page seen from the other hand: 24.71% for KJo, 75.29% for AKs.

Try AsKs against KhJd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 36 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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