AKs
64.85%
Wins 64.63%, ties 0.45%
T9o
35.15%
Wins 34.92%, ties 0.45%
AKs against T9o: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 64.630 | 0.448 | 34.922 | 64.854 |
| T9o | 34.922 | 0.448 | 64.630 | 35.146 |
AKs is a suited hand and T9o is an offsuit hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Ties are part of the picture: 0.45% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
Among the 169 starting hands, AKs is number 8 and T9o is number 78 by strength against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 53,120,000 | 368,000 | 28,703,000 |
| T9o | 28,703,000 | 368,000 | 53,120,000 |
The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 1.845 | 1.547 | 2.864 | 0.542 |
| T9o | 0.542 | 2.864 | 1.547 | 1.845 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and AKs is strongest on paired flops (67.44%) and weakest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (55.37%). AKs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKs wins | Ties | T9o wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.988 | 66.125 | 0.154 | 33.721 | 66.202 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 54.978 | 0.788 | 44.234 | 55.372 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 64.935 | 0.271 | 34.794 | 65.071 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 59.858 | 2.367 | 37.775 | 61.041 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 67.130 | 0.616 | 32.254 | 67.438 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
A random hand would give AKs 67.05% and T9o 51.53%. Against each other the change is -2.20 points for AKs and -16.38 for T9o.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs, all flops | 64.854 | 67.045 | -2.191 | 0.96732 |
| AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 66.202 | 67.045 | -0.843 | 0.98743 |
| AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 55.372 | 67.045 | -11.673 | 0.82589 |
| AKs, two-tone | 65.071 | 67.045 | -1.974 | 0.97056 |
| AKs, monotone | 61.041 | 67.045 | -6.004 | 0.91045 |
| AKs, paired | 67.438 | 67.045 | +0.393 | 1.00586 |
| T9o, all flops | 35.146 | 51.532 | -16.386 | 0.68202 |
| T9o, rainbow, ten or higher | 33.798 | 51.532 | -17.734 | 0.65586 |
| T9o, rainbow, nine or lower | 44.628 | 51.532 | -6.904 | 0.86602 |
| T9o, two-tone | 34.929 | 51.532 | -16.603 | 0.67781 |
| T9o, monotone | 38.959 | 51.532 | -12.573 | 0.75602 |
| T9o, paired | 32.562 | 51.532 | -18.970 | 0.63188 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 64.64% for AKs with a shared suit and 65.07% without one. AKs does better with no shared suit, by 0.43 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKs wins | Ties | T9o wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 64.394 | 0.490 | 35.116 | 64.639 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 64.865 | 0.406 | 34.729 | 65.068 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 48 specific-card matchups (0.0030% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 96 once you count the seats both ways (0.0059%).
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: AKs averages $129.70 back, ahead of its $100 by $29.70, while T9o averages $70.30, short of its $100 by $29.70.
Per 1,000 deals: AKs wins about 646, T9o wins about 349, and about 5 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
T9o against AKs adds nothing new: it is 35.15% for T9o and 64.85% for AKs, the same figures reversed.
Keep exploring
Try AsKs against Th9d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 48 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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